Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11

Grazer AKvTSV Hartberg

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0 – 4 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Grazer AK a 44% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Grazer AKModel pendingMarket 44%
Grazer AK:, no forecast published, market 44%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 44% home · 28% draw · 28% away

Now: 44% home · 28% draw · 28% away

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs44%
Draw—vs28%
Away—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs50%
Under 2.5—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs75%
Under 1.5—vs25%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs28%
Under 3.5—vs72%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs56%
No—vs44%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Grazer AK

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

TSV Hartberg

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Grazer AKDLDDW

  • Sat 24 Oct · A v WSG Wattens 1–1
  • Sun 18 Oct · A v Sturm Graz 1–6
  • Sat 10 Oct · H v Red Bull Salzburg 0–0
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Austria Vienna 2–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v SCR Altach 2–1

TSV HartbergWLWDD

  • Sat 24 Oct · H v Wolfsberger AC 1–0
  • Fri 16 Oct · A v Rapid Vienna 1–3
  • Sun 11 Oct · H v Austria Lustenau 4–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Lask Linz 3–3
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v WSG Wattens 2–2

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Grazer AK
  • Grazer AK have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Grazer AK have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Grazer AK's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Grazer AK's last 5.
  • Grazer AK kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
TSV Hartberg
  • TSV Hartberg have won 2 of their last 5.
  • TSV Hartberg have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 4 of TSV Hartberg's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of TSV Hartberg's last 5.
  • TSV Hartberg kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Grazer AK

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

TSV Hartberg

Rest: 6 days · 1 match in 14d

Merkur-Arena, Graz · Referee: Isa Simsek

8Red flags