Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
TSV HartbergvLask Linz
TSV Hartberg
Lask Linz·
3 – 3 (FT)
1Headline
We expect
1–21.2–1.5 goals
Likeliest exact score 1–1 (12%), then 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz finish on some other score 69% of the time. We show 1–2 above because it is the likeliest score that agrees with what we call on this match.
| TSV / Las | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Percentage chance of each exact scoreline, TSV Hartberg down the side and Lask Linz across. These 99.4% cover every result up to 5 goals a side; the remaining 0.6% is spread across higher scores.
Every other number on this page is a sum of this grid — the match result is the cells either side of the diagonal, over 2.5 is everything totalling three or more. We publish calibration for those sums, not for individual scorelines: no gate has ever graded our chance of exactly 2–1, so read a single cell as the shape of the forecast rather than a number we stand behind.
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- Lask Linz44% · Match result
- Over 2.553% · Goals
- Yes56% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes Lask Linz the most likely of the three results, at 44% (we would not be surprised by anything from 37% to 52%). Most likely is not likely: at 44% this result does not happen 56% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Sun 13 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 53%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
TSV Hartberg
Confirmed · 5-3-2
No reported absences.
Lask Linz
Confirmed · 3-4-1-2
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
TSV HartbergDWWLL
- Sun 13 Sep · A v WSG Wattens 2–2
- Sun 30 Aug · H v Ried 3–2
- Sat 22 Aug · A v SCR Altach 2–1
- Sun 16 Aug · H v Austria Vienna 0–2
- Sat 8 Aug · H v Sturm Graz 0–2
Lask LinzLWWWW
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Sturm Graz 1–2
- Tue 1 Sep · A v Wolfsberger AC 3–1
- Sat 29 Aug · H v SCR Altach 3–0
- Fri 14 Aug · H v Ried 4–1
- Sun 9 Aug · A v Austria Vienna 2–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- TSV Hartberg have won 2 of their last 5.
- TSV Hartberg have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 3 of TSV Hartberg's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of TSV Hartberg's last 5.
- TSV Hartberg kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
- Lask Linz have won 4 of their last 5.
- Lask Linz have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Lask Linz's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Lask Linz's last 5.
- Lask Linz kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
TSV Hartberg
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Lask Linz
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Profertil Arena, Hartberg · Referee: Safak Barmaksiz, Austria
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz?
- Our model makes Lask Linz the most likely result at 44%. Most likely is not likely — at 44% it does not happen 56% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 53%, and under 2.5 at 47%.
- Will both teams score in TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance, against 44% that at least one side is kept out.
- What are the confirmed lineups for TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz?
- TSV Hartberg line up in a 5-3-2, Lask Linz in a 3-4-1-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.