Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 6
KRC Genk IIvSeraing United
KRC Genk II
Seraing United·
2 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
We expect
2–11.4–1.4 goals
Likeliest exact score 1–1 (12%), then 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). KRC Genk II and Seraing United finish on some other score 71% of the time. We show 2–1 above because it is the likeliest score that agrees with what we call on this match.
| KRC / Ser | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Percentage chance of each exact scoreline, KRC Genk II down the side and Seraing United across. These 99.3% cover every result up to 5 goals a side; the remaining 0.7% is spread across higher scores.
Every other number on this page is a sum of this grid — the match result is the cells either side of the diagonal, over 2.5 is everything totalling three or more. We publish calibration for those sums, not for individual scorelines: no gate has ever graded our chance of exactly 2–1, so read a single cell as the shape of the forecast rather than a number we stand behind.
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- KRC Genk II37% · Match result
- Over 2.554% · Goals
- Yes56% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes KRC Genk II the most likely of the three results, at 37% (we would not be surprised by anything from 30% to 44%). Most likely is not likely: at 37% this result does not happen 63% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Sun 13 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 54%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
KRC Genk II
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
Seraing United
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
KRC Genk IILWWLL
- Sat 12 Sep · A v Excelsior Virton 0–3
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Sporting Hasselt 3–0
- Fri 28 Aug · A v Lokeren-Temse 4–2
- Sun 23 Aug · H v Liège 2–3
- Sat 15 Aug · A v AS Eupen 1–4
Seraing UnitedLLDLL
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Sporting Hasselt 1–2
- Fri 4 Sep · A v Dender 0–2
- Sun 30 Aug · H v K. Lierse S.K. 1–1
- Sat 22 Aug · A v Club Brugge II 2–3
- Fri 14 Aug · H v Lokeren-Temse 0–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- KRC Genk II have won 2 of their last 5.
- KRC Genk II have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 5 of KRC Genk II's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of KRC Genk II's last 5.
- KRC Genk II kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Seraing United have won 0 of their last 5.
- Seraing United have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of Seraing United's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Seraing United's last 5.
- Seraing United kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
KRC Genk II
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Seraing United
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Cegeka Arena, Genk
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- Who will win KRC Genk II vs Seraing United?
- Our model makes KRC Genk II the most likely result at 37%. Most likely is not likely — at 37% it does not happen 63% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in KRC Genk II vs Seraing United?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 54%, and under 2.5 at 46%.
- Will both teams score in KRC Genk II vs Seraing United?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance, against 44% that at least one side is kept out.