Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 6
Sporting HasseltvBeerschot VA
Sporting Hasselt
Beerschot VA·
0 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
We expect
1–01.2–0.9 goals
Likeliest exact score 1–0 (14%), then 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Sporting Hasselt and Beerschot VA finish on some other score 59% of the time.
| Spo / Bee | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Percentage chance of each exact scoreline, Sporting Hasselt down the side and Beerschot VA across. These 99.8% cover every result up to 5 goals a side; the remaining 0.2% is spread across higher scores.
Every other number on this page is a sum of this grid — the match result is the cells either side of the diagonal, over 2.5 is everything totalling three or more. We publish calibration for those sums, not for individual scorelines: no gate has ever graded our chance of exactly 2–1, so read a single cell as the shape of the forecast rather than a number we stand behind.
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- Sporting Hasselt42% · Match result
- Under 2.555% · Goals
- No50% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes Sporting Hasselt the most likely of the three results, at 42% (we would not be surprised by anything from 26% to 57%). Most likely is not likely: at 42% this result does not happen 58% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Sun 13 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more less likely than not at 45%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Sporting Hasselt
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
Beerschot VA
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Sporting HasseltWLLWW
- Sat 12 Sep · A v Seraing United 2–1
- Sat 5 Sep · A v KRC Genk II 0–3
- Fri 28 Aug · H v KAA Gent II 0–2
- Sun 23 Aug · A v Francs Borains 1–0
- Fri 14 Aug · H v Dender 1–0
Beerschot VAWWWLW
- Fri 11 Sep · H v K. Lierse S.K. 3–1
- Fri 4 Sep · H v Patro Eisden 4–2
- Sat 29 Aug · A v RSC Anderlecht II 1–0
- Sat 22 Aug · A v Dender 0–2
- Sun 16 Aug · H v KAA Gent II 4–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Sporting Hasselt have won 3 of their last 5.
- Sporting Hasselt have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of Sporting Hasselt's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 1 of Sporting Hasselt's last 5.
- Sporting Hasselt kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
- Beerschot VA have won 4 of their last 5.
- Beerschot VA have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Beerschot VA's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Beerschot VA's last 5.
- Beerschot VA kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Sporting Hasselt
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Beerschot VA
Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d
Venue unconfirmed
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Wide interval
The model's confidence interval is wide.
Common questions
- Who will win Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA?
- Our model makes Sporting Hasselt the most likely result at 42%. Most likely is not likely — at 42% it does not happen 58% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 45%, and under 2.5 at 55%.
- Will both teams score in Sporting Hasselt vs Beerschot VA?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 50% chance, against 50% that at least one side is kept out.