Serie A · Regular Season - 29
Atletico ParanaensevAtletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG·
2 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Atletico Paranaense a 45% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 46% home · 29% draw · 25% away
Now: 45% home · 29% draw · 26% away
Moved +1pp — the market moved towards Atletico-MG
Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Atletico Paranaense
Lineup not yet confirmed
- G. Benavidez — out (Inactive)
- Leo Derik — out (Thigh Injury)
- C. Teran — out (Injury)
- J. Portilla — out (Injury)
- Luiz Gustavo — out (Inactive)
- L. Esquivel — out (Ankle Injury)
- B. Zapelli — out (Ankle Injury)
- Mycael — out (Leg Injury)
- Felipinho — out (Muscle Injury)
- Julimar — out (Ankle Injury)
- Jadson — out (Injury)
- Bruninho — out (Inactive)
- Renan Peixoto — doubtful (Injury)
Atletico-MG
Lineup not yet confirmed
- Ruan Tressoldi — out (Muscle Injury)
- A. Preciado — out (Yellow Cards)
- Lyanco — out (Foot Injury)
- R. Lodi — out (Suspended)
- Gustavo Scarpa — out (Muscle Injury)
- Cuello — out (Hamstring Injury)
- I. Roman — out (Yellow Cards)
- A. Minda — out (Inactive)
- A. Franco — out (Personal Reasons)
- Maycon — out (Inactive)
- M. Cisse — out (Thigh Injury)
- Patrick Silva — out (Knee Injury)
- Vitor Hugo — out (Calf Injury)
- Alexsander — out (Knee Injury)
- Junior Santos — doubtful (Inactive)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Atletico ParanaenseWDLDW
- Sun 20 Sep · H v Bahia 2–1
- Sat 12 Sep · A v Coritiba 3–3
- Sun 6 Sep · A v Cruzeiro 1–3
- Sun 30 Aug · H v Fluminense 3–3(xG 1.9–0.6)
- Mon 24 Aug · A v Botafogo 3–2
Atletico-MGDWLWD
- Sat 19 Sep · H v Chapecoense-sc 1–1
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Fluminense 3–1
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Sao Paulo 0–2
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Vitoria 2–1(xG 1.5–0.6)
- Sat 22 Aug · A v Internacional 0–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Atletico Paranaense have won 2 of their last 5.
- Atletico Paranaense have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 5 of Atletico Paranaense's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Atletico Paranaense's last 5.
- Atletico Paranaense kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
- Atletico-MG have won 2 of their last 5.
- Atletico-MG have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of Atletico-MG's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Atletico-MG's last 5.
- Atletico-MG kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- Atletico Paranaense W–D–L
- 0–0–1
- Over 2.5
- 1 of 1
- Both scored
- 1 of 1
- Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense
7Context
Atletico Paranaense
Rest: 18 days · 0 matches in 14d
Atletico-MG
Rest: 19 days · 0 matches in 14d
Arena da Baixada, Curitiba · Referee: Ramon Abatti
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG?
- Atletico Paranaense's reported absences and doubts include G. Benavidez, Leo Derik, C. Teran, J. Portilla and 9 others. Atletico-MG's include Ruan Tressoldi, A. Preciado, Lyanco, R. Lodi and 11 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.