Serie A · Regular Season - 30

CoritibavBotafogo

·

1 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Botafogo a 37% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

BotafogoModel pendingMarket 37%
Botafogo:, no forecast published, market 37%

2Market

Open: 36% home · 27% draw · 37% away

Now: 36% home · 27% draw · 37% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs36%
Draw—vs27%
Away—vs37%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs54%
Under 2.5—vs46%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs78%
Under 1.5—vs22%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs32%
Under 3.5—vs68%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs59%
No—vs41%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Coritiba

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • Lucas Taverna — doubtful (Inactive)
  • Bruno Melo — out (Yellow Cards)
  • Tiago Coser — out (Inactive)
  • Pedro Morisco — out (Inactive)
  • J. Lavega — out (Loan agreement)
  • Keno — out (Loan agreement)
  • B. Ocampo — out (Ankle Injury)
  • Joao Pedro Chermont — out (Transfer negotiations)
  • Jacy — out (Inactive)
  • Breno Lopes — out (Red Card)
  • Tinga — out (Muscle Injury)
  • Pedro Rangel — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • Lucas Ronier — out (Knee Injury)
  • Josue — out (Injury)
  • S. Gomez — out (Head Injury)
  • Maicon — out (Inactive)
  • Wallisson — out (Yellow Cards)
  • Lucas Crepaldi — out (Inactive)
  • Benassi — out (Toe Injury)
  • Richard — out (Inactive)

Botafogo

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • Arthur Chaves — doubtful (Inactive)
  • Danilo Santos — out (Injury)
  • K. Barria — out (Inactive)
  • Matheus Martins — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • J. Barrera — out (Ankle Injury)
  • Arthur Cabral — out (Yellow Cards)
  • Marcal — out (Red Card)
  • N. Ferraresi — out (Yellow Cards)
  • J. Correa — out (Yellow Cards)
  • M. Ponte — out (Yellow Cards)
  • C. Medina — out (Yellow Cards)
  • Junior Santos — out (Foot Injury)
  • Bastos — out (Injury)
  • Alex Telles — out (Yellow Cards)
  • Nathan Fernandes — out (Knee Injury)
  • Allan — out (Muscle Injury)
  • A. Barboza — out (Inactive)
  • S. Rodriguez — out (Injury)
  • C. Ramos — out (Inactive)
  • Newton — out (Inactive)
  • Kaio Pantaleao — out (Knee Injury)
  • L. Monzon — out (Inactive)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

CoritibaLLDLW

  • Fri 9 Oct · A v Fluminense 0–4
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Vasco DA Gama 0–5
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Atletico Paranaense 3–3
  • Sun 6 Sep · H v Mirassol 1–2
  • Mon 31 Aug · A v Remo 3–2(xG 1.5–2.9)

BotafogoLLWDD

  • Wed 7 Oct · H v Vasco DA Gama 1–2
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Mirassol 0–2
  • Wed 16 Sep · H v Gremio 3–2(xG 0.9–0.6)
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v RB Bragantino 1–1
  • Sun 6 Sep · H v Palmeiras 0–0

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Coritiba
  • Coritiba have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Coritiba have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 5 of Coritiba's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Coritiba's last 5.
  • Coritiba kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Botafogo
  • Botafogo have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Botafogo have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Botafogo's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Botafogo's last 5.
  • Botafogo kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Coritiba W–D–L
0–1–0
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Botafogo 2–2 Coritiba

7Context

Coritiba

Rest: 4 days · 1 match in 14d

Botafogo

Rest: 5 days · 1 match in 14d

Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba · Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Coritiba vs Botafogo?
Coritiba's reported absences and doubts include Lucas Taverna, Bruno Melo, Tiago Coser, Pedro Morisco and 16 others. Botafogo's include Arthur Chaves, Danilo Santos, K. Barria, Matheus Martins and 18 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.