Serie A · Regular Season - 29
FluminensevCoritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba·
4 – 0 (90')
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Fluminense a 67% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 65% home · 22% draw · 13% away
Now: 67% home · 20% draw · 13% away
Moved +2pp — the market moved towards Fluminense
Solid: the market over 3 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Fluminense
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
- Thiago Silva — out (Injury)
- Ignacio — out (Injury)
- Guga — out (Inactive)
- G. Cano — out (Injury)
- Alisson — out (Hip Injury)
- Hercules — out (Yellow Cards)
- L. Acosta — out (Yellow Cards)
- John Kennedy — out (Knee Injury)
- J. Freytes — out (Ankle Injury)
- J. Millan — out (Muscle Injury)
- Jemmes — out (Thigh Injury)
- Nonato — out (Yellow Cards)
- A. Canobbio — out (International duty)
- J. Savarino — out (Rest)
- Martinelli — out (Hamstring Injury)
- Matheus Reis — out (Knee Injury)
- F. Bernal — out (Knee Injury)
- PH Ganso — doubtful (Inactive)
- Y. Soteldo — out (Injury)
Coritiba
Confirmed · 5-3-2
- Keno — out (Inactive)
- Joao Pedro Chermont — out (Inactive)
- Jacy — out (Inactive)
- Breno Lopes — out (Red Card)
- Tiago Coser — out (Yellow Cards)
- Tinga — out (Muscle Injury)
- Pedro Rangel — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
- Lucas Ronier — out (Knee Injury)
- Josue — out (Injury)
- S. Gomez — out (Head Injury)
- Maicon — out (Inactive)
- Wallisson — out (Yellow Cards)
- Pedro Morisco — out (Shoulder Injury)
- Lucas Crepaldi — out (Inactive)
- Benassi — out (Toe Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
FluminenseWLWDW
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Corinthians 3–1
- Sat 12 Sep · A v Atletico-MG 1–3
- Sun 6 Sep · H v Vasco DA Gama 1–0
- Sun 30 Aug · A v Atletico Paranaense 3–3(xG 0.6–1.9)
- Sat 22 Aug · H v Remo 2–1
CoritibaLDLWW
- Sat 19 Sep · A v Vasco DA Gama 0–5
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Atletico Paranaense 3–3
- Sun 6 Sep · H v Mirassol 1–2
- Mon 31 Aug · A v Remo 3–2(xG 1.5–2.9)
- Sun 23 Aug · H v Corinthians 2–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Fluminense have won 3 of their last 5.
- Fluminense have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Fluminense's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Fluminense's last 5.
- Fluminense kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Coritiba have won 2 of their last 5.
- Coritiba have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 5 of Coritiba's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Coritiba's last 5.
- Coritiba kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- Fluminense W–D–L
- 0–1–0
- Over 2.5
- 0 of 1
- Both scored
- 1 of 1
- Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense
7Context
Fluminense
Rest: 18 days · 0 matches in 14d
Coritiba
Rest: 19 days · 0 matches in 14d
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro · Referee: Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Fluminense vs Coritiba?
- Fluminense's reported absences and doubts include Thiago Silva, Ignacio, Guga, G. Cano and 15 others. Coritiba's include Keno, Joao Pedro Chermont, Jacy, Breno Lopes and 11 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What are the confirmed lineups for Fluminense vs Coritiba?
- Fluminense line up in a 4-2-3-1, Coritiba in a 5-3-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.