Serie A · Regular Season - 29
SantosvFlamengo
Santos
Flamengo·
2 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Flamengo a 53% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 23% home · 25% draw · 52% away
Now: 22% home · 25% draw · 53% away
Moved +1pp — the market moved towards Flamengo
Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Santos
Lineup not yet confirmed
- Lucas Verissimo — out (Ankle Injury)
- Gabriel Barbosa — out (Yellow Cards)
- Gabriel Brazao — out (Inactive)
- A. Barreal — out (Thigh Injury)
- Neymar — out (Thigh Injury)
- Joao Schmidt — out (Yellow Cards)
- Gabriel Menino — out (Knee Injury)
- A. Frias — out (Transfer negotiations)
- Moises — out (Ankle Injury)
- Igor Vinicius — out (Back Injury)
- Gustavo Henrique — out (Hamstring Injury)
- Thaciano — out (Hamstring Injury)
- Mayke — out (Inactive)
- L. Diaz — out (Inactive)
- Ze Rafael — out (Ankle Injury)
- Willian Arao — out (Inactive)
- Tiquinho Soares — doubtful (Inactive)
Flamengo
Lineup not yet confirmed
- E. Pulgar — out (Yellow Cards)
- Lucas Paqueta — out (Yellow Cards)
- G. Plata — out (Inactive)
- Evertton Araujo — out (Thigh Injury)
- Bruno Henrique — out (Yellow Cards)
- N. de la Cruz — out (Muscle Injury)
- Leo Pereira — out (Rest)
- Everton — out (Illness)
- Alex Sandro — out (Calf Injury)
- Luiz Araujo — out (Knee Injury)
- G. de Arrascaeta — out (International duty)
- G. Varela — out (Yellow Cards)
- Jorginho — out (Toe Injury)
- Danilo — out (International duty)
- S. Niguez — out (Ankle Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
SantosWWWWD
- Sat 19 Sep · A v Remo 2–1
- Sun 13 Sep · H v Cruzeiro 2–1
- Sun 6 Sep · A v Internacional 3–2
- Sun 30 Aug · A v Corinthians 1–0(xG 1.2–0.8)
- Sun 23 Aug · H v Mirassol 1–1
FlamengoWWWWW
- Sun 20 Sep · H v RB Bragantino 2–1
- Sun 13 Sep · H v Corinthians 2–1
- Sun 6 Sep · A v Remo 1–0
- Wed 2 Sep · H v Mirassol 2–0
- Sun 30 Aug · H v Botafogo 3–0(xG 1.7–0.8)
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Santos have won 4 of their last 5.
- Santos have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 3 of Santos's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Santos's last 5.
- Santos kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Flamengo have won 5 of their last 5.
- Flamengo have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 3 of Flamengo's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Flamengo's last 5.
- Flamengo kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- Santos W–D–L
- 0–0–1
- Over 2.5
- 1 of 1
- Both scored
- 1 of 1
- Flamengo 3–1 Santos
7Context
Santos
Rest: 19 days · 0 matches in 14d
Flamengo
Rest: 18 days · 0 matches in 14d
Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos · Referee: Anderson Daronco
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Santos vs Flamengo?
- Santos's reported absences and doubts include Lucas Verissimo, Gabriel Barbosa, Gabriel Brazao, A. Barreal and 13 others. Flamengo's include E. Pulgar, Lucas Paqueta, G. Plata, Evertton Araujo and 11 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.