Championship · Regular Season - 4
PortsmouthvDerby
Portsmouth
Derby·
0 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Portsmouth a 49% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 49% home · 27% draw · 24% away
Now: 49% home · 27% draw · 24% away
Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Portsmouth
Lineup not yet confirmed
- J. Bursik — out (Calf Injury)
- K. Anderson — out (Muscle Injury)
- Marezi — out (Calf Injury)
- L. Brooke-Smith — out (Ankle Injury)
- J. Farrell — out (Groin Injury)
- J. Murphy — out (Injury)
- H. Blair — out (Illness)
- T. Waddingham — out (Ankle Injury)
- F. Umeh — out (Hamstring Injury)
- M. Pack — out (Knee Injury)
- C. Ogilvie — out (Knee Injury)
- M. Kosznovszky — out (Knee Injury)
Derby
Lineup not yet confirmed
- L. Travis — out (Leg Injury)
- C. Morris — out (Calf Injury)
- J. Widell Zetterstrom — out (Knee Injury)
- H. Meister — out (Injury)
- F. Bilbija — out (Back Injury)
- C. Forsyth — out (Knee Injury)
- R. Brewster — out (Injury)
- M. Clarke — out (Calf Injury)
- S. Szmodics — out (Thigh Injury)
- D. Murkin — out (Hamstring Injury)
- P. Agyemang — out (Achilles Tendon Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
PortsmouthLWL
- Sat 29 Aug · A v Bristol City 1–2(xG 1.4–0.6)
- Sat 22 Aug · A v Lincoln 3–1
- Sat 15 Aug · H v QPR 1–3
DerbyLDL
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Swansea 0–3(xG 0.6–3.3)
- Sat 22 Aug · H v Cardiff 2–2
- Sat 15 Aug · A v Charlton 1–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Portsmouth have won 1 of their last 3.
- Portsmouth have scored in 3 of their last 3.
- 3 of Portsmouth's last 3 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Portsmouth's last 3.
- Portsmouth kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 3.
- Derby have won 0 of their last 3.
- Derby have scored in 2 of their last 3.
- 3 of Derby's last 3 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Derby's last 3.
- Derby kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 3.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Portsmouth
Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d
Derby
Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d
Fratton Park, Portsmouth · Referee: Sam Allison, England
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Portsmouth vs Derby?
- Portsmouth's reported absences and doubts include J. Bursik, K. Anderson, Marezi, L. Brooke-Smith and 8 others. Derby's include L. Travis, C. Morris, J. Widell Zetterstrom, H. Meister and 7 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.