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Championship · Regular Season - 4

West HamvWolves

2026-09-01 ·

42 (FT)

1Headline

Our bet on this match

None

We weighed 5 priced outcomes on this match and none of them cleared the bar we set. Most matches end here, and a page that found a bet in every fixture would not be worth reading.

No forecast has been published for this fixture yet, so we have nothing of our own to tell you about the result.

For comparison, the market gives West Ham a 47% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

West HamModel pendingMarket 47%
West Ham:, no forecast published, market 47%

2Market

Open: 47% home · 26% draw · 28% away

Now: 47% home · 26% draw · 28% away

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Our forecast beside the market price
MarketOutcomeOursPriceGap
Match resultHome47%
Draw26%
Away28%
Goals over 2.5Over 2.557%
Under 2.543%
Goals over 1.5Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Goals over 3.5Over 3.535%
Under 3.565%
Both teams to scoreYes61%
No39%

Match result

Homevs47%
Drawvs26%
Awayvs28%

ours · market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5vs57%
Under 2.5vs43%

ours · market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5vs80%
Under 1.5vs20%

ours · market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5vs35%
Under 3.5vs65%

ours · market

Both teams to score

Yesvs61%
Novs39%

ours · market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

West Ham

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Wolves

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

West HamDLDWL

  • 2026-08-29 · A v Watford 11(xG 0.7–1.3)
  • 2026-08-22 · H v Charlton 12
  • 2026-08-16 · A v Burnley 22
  • 2026-05-24 · H v Leeds 30
  • 2026-05-17 · A v Newcastle 13

WolvesWWDDD

  • 2026-08-29 · H v Stoke City 41(xG 2.6–0.9)
  • 2026-08-22 · A v Preston 31
  • 2026-08-14 · H v Blackburn 22
  • 2026-05-24 · A v Burnley 11
  • 2026-05-17 · H v Fulham 11

5Head-to-head

6Context

West Ham

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Wolves

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

London Stadium, London · Referee: L. Smith

7Expert consensus

Not available yet — expert tracking launches in a later milestone.

8Red flags

No flags raised for this fixture right now.

9What would change this

Nothing to show until a forecast is published for this match. We do not estimate this from the market.