League One · Regular Season - 8
PlymouthvBurton Albion
Plymouth
Burton Albion·
0 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Plymouth a 62% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 60% home · 23% draw · 18% away
Now: 62% home · 21% draw · 16% away
Moved +2pp — the market moved towards Plymouth
Solid: the market over 11 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Plymouth
Confirmed · 4-4-2
No reported absences.
Burton Albion
Confirmed · 3-4-1-2
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
PlymouthWWWLW
- Sat 19 Sep · A v Blackpool 4–2
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Barnsley 3–0
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Doncaster 3–2
- Tue 1 Sep · A v Leicester 0–2
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Bradford 2–0
Burton AlbionDLDWL
- Sat 19 Sep · H v Mansfield Town 2–2
- Sat 12 Sep · A v Oxford United 0–3
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Cambridge United 2–2
- Wed 2 Sep · H v AFC Wimbledon 4–1
- Sat 29 Aug · A v Notts County 1–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Plymouth have won 4 of their last 5.
- Plymouth have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Plymouth's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Plymouth's last 5.
- Plymouth kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
- Burton Albion have won 1 of their last 5.
- Burton Albion have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 5 of Burton Albion's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Burton Albion's last 5.
- Burton Albion kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Plymouth
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Burton Albion
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Home Park, Plymouth · Referee: S. Mather
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What are the confirmed lineups for Plymouth vs Burton Albion?
- Plymouth line up in a 4-4-2, Burton Albion in a 3-4-1-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.