League One · Regular Season - 7
Sheffield WednesdayvStockport County
Sheffield Wednesday
Stockport County·
0 – 0 (FT)
1Headline
We expect
1–21.1–1.5 goals
Likeliest exact score 1–1 (12%), then 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Sheffield Wednesday and Stockport County finish on some other score 68% of the time. We show 1–2 above because it is the likeliest score that agrees with what we call on this match.
| She / Sto | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Percentage chance of each exact scoreline, Sheffield Wednesday down the side and Stockport County across. These 99.4% cover every result up to 5 goals a side; the remaining 0.6% is spread across higher scores.
Every other number on this page is a sum of this grid — the match result is the cells either side of the diagonal, over 2.5 is everything totalling three or more. We publish calibration for those sums, not for individual scorelines: no gate has ever graded our chance of exactly 2–1, so read a single cell as the shape of the forecast rather than a number we stand behind.
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- Stockport County46% · Match result
- Over 2.553% · Goals
- Yes56% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes Stockport County the most likely of the three results, at 46% (we would not be surprised by anything from 36% to 54%). Most likely is not likely: at 46% this result does not happen 54% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Sun 13 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 53%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Sheffield Wednesday
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
Stockport County
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Sheffield WednesdayDWWWL
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Wigan 0–0
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Peterborough 2–1
- Tue 1 Sep · A v Wycombe 2–1
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Bromley 7–2
- Thu 20 Aug · H v Bradford 0–1
Stockport CountyLWLWL
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Leicester 3–4
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Wigan 4–0
- Wed 2 Sep · A v Luton 0–2
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Wycombe 5–1
- Sat 22 Aug · H v Blackpool 1–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Sheffield Wednesday have won 3 of their last 5.
- Sheffield Wednesday have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 3 of Sheffield Wednesday's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Sheffield Wednesday's last 5.
- Sheffield Wednesday kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Stockport County have won 2 of their last 5.
- Stockport County have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 4 of Stockport County's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Stockport County's last 5.
- Stockport County kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Sheffield Wednesday
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Stockport County
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Hillsborough, Sheffield · Referee: B. Toner
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County?
- Our model makes Stockport County the most likely result at 46%. Most likely is not likely — at 46% it does not happen 54% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 53%, and under 2.5 at 47%.
- Will both teams score in Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance, against 44% that at least one side is kept out.