League One · Regular Season - 9
WiganvMansfield Town
Wigan
Mansfield Town·
1Headline
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- Wigan36% · Match result
- Under 2.553% · Goals
- Yes52% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes Wigan the most likely of the three results, at 36% (we would not be surprised by anything from 28% to 45%). Most likely is not likely: at 36% this result does not happen 64% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Tue 29 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more less likely than not at 47%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Wigan
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
Mansfield Town
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
WiganWLLLW
- Sat 31 Oct · H v Bromley 3–2
- Tue 27 Oct · A v Leicester 0–3(xG 1.1–2.9)
- Sat 24 Oct · A v Huddersfield 1–2
- Tue 20 Oct · A v Oxford United 1–2
- Sat 17 Oct · H v Reading 1–0
Mansfield TownLWWDW
- Sat 31 Oct · H v Notts County 0–2
- Sat 24 Oct · A v Blackpool 4–1
- Tue 20 Oct · A v AFC Wimbledon 3–0
- Thu 15 Oct · H v Oxford United 1–1
- Sat 10 Oct · H v Bromley 2–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Wigan have won 2 of their last 5.
- Wigan have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 4 of Wigan's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Wigan's last 5.
- Wigan kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Mansfield Town have won 3 of their last 5.
- Mansfield Town have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Mansfield Town's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Mansfield Town's last 5.
- Mansfield Town kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Wigan
Rest: 3 days · 3 matches in 14d
Mansfield Town
Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d
DW Stadium, Wigan
8Red flags
Lineups pending
Lineups not yet confirmed.
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Fixture congestion
One side has played three or more league matches in the fortnight before this one.
Common questions
- Who will win Wigan vs Mansfield Town?
- Our model makes Wigan the most likely result at 36%. Most likely is not likely — at 36% it does not happen 64% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in Wigan vs Mansfield Town?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 47%, and under 2.5 at 53%.
- Will both teams score in Wigan vs Mansfield Town?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 52% chance, against 48% that at least one side is kept out.