Premier League · Regular Season - 14
BrightonvAston Villa
Brighton
Aston Villa·
3 – 4 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 2.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 1.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 3.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Both teams to score
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Brighton
Lineup not yet confirmed
- G. Rutter — out (Injury)
- M. Wieffer — out (Knee Injury)
- M. Svoboda — out (Injury)
- F. Azeez — out (Abdominal strain)
- M. Orozco — out (Injury)
- J. Hinshelwood — out (Injury)
- S. Tzimas — out (Knee Injury)
- M. O'Riley — out (Illness)
- K. Mitoma — out (Hamstring Injury)
- Y. Minteh — out (Injury)
- E. Ferguson — out (Ankle Injury)
- C. Baleba — out (Ankle Injury)
Aston Villa
Lineup not yet confirmed
- L. Goretzka — out (Knee Injury)
- B. Madjo — out (Ankle Injury)
- L. Bailey — out (Muscle Injury)
- T. Harwood-Bellis — doubtful (Injury)
- I. Mbaye — out (Inactive)
- T. Abraham — out (Injury)
- O. Watkins — out (Inactive)
- E. Martinez — out (Finger Injury)
- Joao Gomes — out (Red Card)
- A. Onana — out (Knee Injury)
- J. Manzambi — out (Knee Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
BrightonWWDWL
- Sun 30 Nov · A v Nottingham Forest 2–0
- Sat 22 Nov · H v Brentford 2–1
- Sun 9 Nov · A v Crystal Palace 0–0
- Sat 1 Nov · H v Leeds 3–0
- Sat 25 Oct · A v Manchester United 2–4
Aston VillaWWWLW
- Sun 30 Nov · H v Wolves 1–0
- Sun 23 Nov · A v Leeds 2–1
- Sun 9 Nov · H v Bournemouth 4–0
- Sat 1 Nov · A v Liverpool 0–2
- Sun 26 Oct · H v Manchester City 1–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Brighton have won 3 of their last 5.
- Brighton have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Brighton's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Brighton's last 5.
- Brighton kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
- Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5.
- Aston Villa have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 2 of Aston Villa's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 1 of Aston Villa's last 5.
- Aston Villa kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
In their last 8 meetings, Brighton have won 1, Aston Villa 6, with 1 drawn.
- Brighton W–D–L
- 1–1–6
- Over 2.5
- 5 of 8
- Both scored
- 4 of 8
- Brighton 0–3 Aston Villa
- Aston Villa 2–2 Brighton
- Brighton 1–0 Aston Villa
- Aston Villa 6–1 Brighton
- Aston Villa 2–1 Brighton
- Brighton 1–2 Aston Villa
- Brighton 0–2 Aston Villa
- Aston Villa 2–0 Brighton
7Context
Brighton
Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d
Aston Villa
Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d
The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex · Referee: A. Madley
8Red flags
No flags raised for this fixture right now.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Brighton vs Aston Villa?
- Brighton's reported absences and doubts include G. Rutter, M. Wieffer, M. Svoboda, F. Azeez and 8 others. Aston Villa's include L. Goretzka, B. Madjo, L. Bailey, T. Harwood-Bellis and 7 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Aston Villa?
- In their last 8 meetings, Brighton have won 1, Aston Villa 6, with 1 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of those 8 meetings, and both teams scored in 4.