Premier League · Regular Season - 30
Manchester UnitedvAston Villa
Manchester United
Aston Villa·
3 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 2.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 1.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 3.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Both teams to score
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Manchester United
Lineup not yet confirmed
- M. Mount — doubtful (Foot Injury)
- T. Heaton — doubtful (Injury)
- A. Diallo — out (Injury)
- C. Baleba — out (Ankle Injury)
- M. de Ligt — out (Back Injury)
- M. Ugarte — out (Knee Injury)
Aston Villa
Lineup not yet confirmed
- B. Madjo — doubtful (Ankle Injury)
- L. Bailey — out (Muscle Injury)
- T. Harwood-Bellis — doubtful (Injury)
- I. Mbaye — out (Inactive)
- T. Abraham — out (Injury)
- O. Watkins — out (Inactive)
- E. Martinez — out (Finger Injury)
- Joao Gomes — out (Red Card)
- A. Onana — out (Knee Injury)
- J. Manzambi — out (Knee Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Manchester UnitedLWWDW
- Wed 4 Mar · A v Newcastle 1–2
- Sun 1 Mar · H v Crystal Palace 2–1
- Mon 23 Feb · A v Everton 1–0
- Tue 10 Feb · A v West Ham 1–1
- Sat 7 Feb · H v Tottenham 2–0
Aston VillaLLDWD
- Wed 4 Mar · H v Chelsea 1–4
- Fri 27 Feb · A v Wolves 0–2
- Sat 21 Feb · H v Leeds 1–1
- Wed 11 Feb · H v Brighton 1–0
- Sat 7 Feb · A v Bournemouth 1–1
5Trends
How each side has been going, and how these two have met — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter.
- Manchester United have won 3 of their last 5.
- Manchester United have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 2 of Manchester United's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester United's last 5.
- Manchester United kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
- Aston Villa have won 1 of their last 5.
- Aston Villa have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 1 of Aston Villa's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 5.
- Aston Villa kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Head to head
- Over 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 6 meetings.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.
- Manchester United have won 4, Aston Villa 1, with 1 drawn, in the last 6 meetings.
6Head-to-head
7Context
Manchester United
Rest: 11 days · 2 matches in 14d
Aston Villa
Rest: 11 days · 1 match in 14d
Old Trafford, Manchester · Referee: A. Taylor
8Red flags
No flags raised for this fixture right now.