Premier League · Regular Season - 21
NewcastlevLeeds
Newcastle
Leeds·
4 – 3 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 2.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 1.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 3.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Both teams to score
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Newcastle
Lineup not yet confirmed
- V. Livramento — out (Hamstring Injury)
- M. Fernandez-Pardo — out (Transfer negotiations)
- W. Osula — out (Injury)
- D. Burn — out (Ankle Injury)
- Joelinton — out (Injury)
Leeds
Lineup not yet confirmed
- J. Rodon — out (Muscle Injury)
- G. Gudmundsson — out (Hamstring Injury)
- W. Gnonto — out (Hamstring Injury)
- I. Gruev — out (Knee Injury)
- M. Joseph — out (Knee Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
NewcastleWWLDL
- Sun 4 Jan · H v Crystal Palace 2–0
- Tue 30 Dec · A v Burnley 3–1
- Fri 26 Dec · A v Manchester United 0–1
- Sat 20 Dec · H v Chelsea 2–2
- Sun 14 Dec · A v Sunderland 0–1
LeedsDDDWD
- Sun 4 Jan · H v Manchester United 1–1
- Thu 1 Jan · A v Liverpool 0–0
- Sun 28 Dec · A v Sunderland 1–1
- Sat 20 Dec · H v Crystal Palace 4–1
- Sun 14 Dec · A v Brentford 1–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5.
- Newcastle have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of Newcastle's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Newcastle's last 5.
- Newcastle kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Leeds have won 1 of their last 5.
- Leeds have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 1 of Leeds's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Leeds's last 5.
- Leeds kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 5 prior meetings on record — thin sample.
In their last 5 meetings, Newcastle have won 1, Leeds 0, with 4 drawn.
- Newcastle W–D–L
- 1–4–0
- Over 2.5
- 1 of 5
- Both scored
- 2 of 5
- Leeds 0–0 Newcastle
- Leeds 2–2 Newcastle
- Newcastle 0–0 Leeds
- Leeds 0–1 Newcastle
- Newcastle 1–1 Leeds
7Context
Newcastle
Rest: 3 days · 3 matches in 14d
Leeds
Rest: 3 days · 3 matches in 14d
St James’ Park, Newcastle · Referee: M. Salisbury
8Red flags
No flags raised for this fixture right now.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Newcastle vs Leeds?
- Newcastle's reported absences and doubts include V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, W. Osula, D. Burn and 1 other. Leeds's include J. Rodon, G. Gudmundsson, W. Gnonto, I. Gruev and 1 other. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Leeds?
- In their last 5 meetings, Newcastle have won 1, Leeds 0, with 4 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of those 5 meetings, and both teams scored in 2.