Premier League · Regular Season - 2
TottenhamvNewcastle
Tottenham
Newcastle·
0 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Tottenham a 44% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 43% home · 26% draw · 31% away
Now: 44% home · 25% draw · 31% away
Moved +1pp — the market moved towards Tottenham
Solid: the market over 3 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 3.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Tottenham
Lineup not yet confirmed
- P. M. Sarr — out (Muscle Injury)
- Richarlison — out (Inactive)
- M. Mudryk — out (Ankle Injury)
- J. Maddison — out (Knock)
- Savinho — doubtful (Muscle Injury)
- M. Kudus — out (Muscle Injury)
- M. van de Ven — out (Injury)
- X. Simons — out (Knee Injury)
- P. Porro — out (Inactive)
- W. Odobert — out (Knee Injury)
- D. Kulusevski — out (Knee Injury)
Newcastle
Lineup not yet confirmed
- Joelinton — out (Thigh Injury)
- J. Ramsey — out (Injury)
- Nico — out (Injury)
- A. Elanga — out (Knee Injury)
- A. Dedic — out (Injury)
- E. Jaouen — out (Ankle Injury)
- V. Livramento — out (Hamstring Injury)
- M. Fernandez-Pardo — out (Transfer negotiations)
- W. Osula — out (Injury)
- D. Burn — out (Ankle Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
TottenhamLWLDW
- Sat 22 Aug · A v Brentford 0–3
- Sun 24 May · H v Everton 1–0
- Tue 19 May · A v Chelsea 1–2
- Mon 11 May · H v Leeds 1–1
- Sun 3 May · A v Aston Villa 2–1
NewcastleDLWDW
- Sun 23 Aug · H v Liverpool 2–2(xG 1.6–3.0)
- Sun 24 May · A v Fulham 0–2
- Sun 17 May · H v West Ham 3–1
- Sun 10 May · A v Nottingham Forest 1–1
- Sat 2 May · H v Brighton 3–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Tottenham have won 2 of their last 5.
- Tottenham have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Tottenham's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Tottenham's last 5.
- Tottenham kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5.
- Newcastle have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Newcastle's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle's last 5.
- Newcastle kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
In their last 10 meetings, Tottenham have won 3, Newcastle 6, with 1 drawn.
- Tottenham W–D–L
- 3–1–6
- Over 2.5
- 10 of 10
- Both scored
- 9 of 10
- Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle
- Newcastle 2–2 Tottenham
- Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle
- Newcastle 2–1 Tottenham
- Newcastle 4–0 Tottenham
- Tottenham 4–1 Newcastle
- Newcastle 6–1 Tottenham
- Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle
- Tottenham 5–1 Newcastle
- Newcastle 2–3 Tottenham
7Context
Tottenham
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Newcastle
Rest: 6 days · 1 match in 14d
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London · Referee: Peter Bankes, England
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Tottenham vs Newcastle?
- Tottenham's reported absences and doubts include P. M. Sarr, Richarlison, M. Mudryk, J. Maddison and 7 others. Newcastle's include Joelinton, J. Ramsey, Nico, A. Elanga and 6 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Newcastle?
- In their last 10 meetings, Tottenham have won 3, Newcastle 6, with 1 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of those 10 meetings, and both teams scored in 9.