Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
Le HavrevParis Saint Germain
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain·
1 – 5 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Paris Saint Germain a 77% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
Open: 8% home · 13% draw · 79% away
Now: 9% home · 14% draw · 77% away
Moved −2pp — the market moved away from Paris Saint Germain
Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Le Havre
Lineup not yet confirmed
- T. Pembélé — out (Muscle Bruise)
- Stephan Zagadou — out (Jumpers Knee)
- R. Ndiaye — out (Muscle Bruise)
- F. Mambimbi — out (Achilles Tendon Problems)
- L. Mpasi — out (Achilles Tendon Problems)
- E. Jelert — out (Thigh Problems)
- S. Nakamura — out (Inactive)
- A. Seko — out (Yellow Card)
- S. Zagadou — out (Knee Injury)
- I. Bouneb — out (Inactive)
- T. Pembele — out (Muscle Injury)
- L. Mpasi-Nzau — out (Achilles Tendon Injury)
- J. Mwanga — out (Red Card)
- P. Argney — out (Injury)
- A. Toure — out (Knee Injury)
Paris Saint Germain
Lineup not yet confirmed
- N. Mendes — out (Rest)
- S. Mayulu — out (Muscle Injury)
- K. Kvaratskhelia — out (Jumpers Knee)
- Nuno Mendes — out (Muscle Bruise)
- M. Akliouche — out (Calf Injury)
- O. Dembélé — out (Thigh Problems)
- Marquinhos — out (Thigh Problems)
- O. Dembele — out (Rest)
- A. Longoni — out (Injury)
- Q. Ndjantou — out (Inactive)
- A. Hakimi — out (Thigh Injury)
- I. Zabarnyi — out (Coach's decision)
- L. Digne — out (Inactive)
- D. Doue — doubtful (Muscle Injury)
- J. Neves — out (Illness)
- I. Mbaye — out (Inactive)
- B. Barcola — out (Inactive)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Le HavreLLLLD
- Sun 25 Oct · A v Marseille 3–4(xG 3.2–1.6)
- Sun 18 Oct · H v Auxerre 1–3
- Sat 10 Oct · A v Lille 0–1
- Sat 19 Sep · A v Toulouse 2–3
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Angers 0–0
Paris Saint GermainWWWWW
- Mon 26 Oct · H v Lyon 2–0(xG 1.0–0.7)
- Sat 17 Oct · A v Strasbourg 3–1
- Sat 10 Oct · H v Le Mans 3–1
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Marseille 2–1
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Stade Brestois 29 1–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Le Havre have won 0 of their last 5.
- Le Havre have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 3 of Le Havre's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Le Havre's last 5.
- Le Havre kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Paris Saint Germain have won 5 of their last 5.
- Paris Saint Germain have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 3 of Paris Saint Germain's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Paris Saint Germain's last 5.
- Paris Saint Germain kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
In their last 6 meetings, Le Havre have won 0, Paris Saint Germain 5, with 1 drawn.
- Le Havre W–D–L
- 0–1–5
- Over 2.5
- 4 of 6
- Both scored
- 3 of 6
- Le Havre 0–1 Paris Saint Germain
- Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Le Havre
- Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Le Havre
- Le Havre 1–4 Paris Saint Germain
- Paris Saint Germain 3–3 Le Havre
- Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint Germain
7Context
Le Havre
Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d
Paris Saint Germain
Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d
Stade Oceane, Le Havre · Referee: Francois Letexier
8Red flags
No flags raised for this fixture right now.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
- Le Havre's reported absences and doubts include T. Pembélé, Stephan Zagadou, R. Ndiaye, F. Mambimbi and 11 others. Paris Saint Germain's include N. Mendes, S. Mayulu, K. Kvaratskhelia, Nuno Mendes and 13 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Paris Saint Germain?
- In their last 6 meetings, Le Havre have won 0, Paris Saint Germain 5, with 1 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of those 6 meetings, and both teams scored in 3.