Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9

LillevLens

·

1 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Lille a 38% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

LilleModel pendingMarket 38%
Lille:, no forecast published, market 38%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 38% home · 27% draw · 35% away

Now: 38% home · 27% draw · 35% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs38%
Draw—vs27%
Away—vs35%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs53%
Under 2.5—vs47%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs78%
Under 1.5—vs22%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs31%
Under 3.5—vs69%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs59%
No—vs41%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Lille

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • T. Nianzou — out (Red Card)
  • M. Fernandez-Pardo — out (Transfer negotiations)
  • H. Igamane — out (Jumpers Knee)
  • Tiago Santos — out (Jumpers Knee)
  • A. Ueda — out (Foot Injury)
  • T. Santos — out (Knee Injury)
  • E. Mbappe — out (Ankle Injury)
  • L. Srdanovic — out (Inactive)
  • S. Diaoune — out (Inactive)
  • B. Andre — out (Yellow Cards)

Lens

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • A. Sima — out (Muscle Bruise)
  • M. Nawrocki — out (Jumpers Knee)
  • I. Ganiou — out (Jumpers Knee)
  • F. Ivanović — out (Head Injury)
  • O. Édouard — out (Groin Injury)
  • N. Celik — out (Inactive)
  • J. Gradit — out (Muscle Injury)
  • J. Chavez — out (Coach's decision)
  • O. Edouard — out (Personal Reasons)
  • M. Udol — out (Red Card)
  • J. Todibo — out (Inactive)
  • T. Hazard — out (Coach's decision)
  • Y. Titraoui — out (Injury)
  • S. Sagnan — out (Red Card)
  • S. Baidoo — out (Knee Injury)
  • K. Antonio — out (Red Card)
  • S. Abdulhamid — out (Contusion)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

LilleDDWLW

  • Sun 25 Oct · A v Monaco 1–1(xG 0.7–2.2)
  • Sat 17 Oct · H v Stade Brestois 29 1–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · H v Le Havre 1–0
  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Nice 1–2
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Estac Troyes 2–0

LensWWWLD

  • Sat 24 Oct · H v Paris FC 2–1
  • Sat 17 Oct · A v Estac Troyes 3–1
  • Fri 9 Oct · H v Lyon 2–1
  • Fri 18 Sep · A v Monaco 1–2
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Le Mans 2–2

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Lille
  • Lille have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Lille have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Lille's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Lille's last 5.
  • Lille kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Lens
  • Lens have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Lens have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 5 of Lens's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Lens's last 5.
  • Lens kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

In their last 10 meetings, Lille have won 5, Lens 3, with 2 drawn.

Lille W–D–L
5–2–3
Over 2.5
4 of 10
Both scored
4 of 10
  • Lille 3–0 Lens
  • Lens 3–0 Lille
  • Lille 1–0 Lens
  • Lens 0–2 Lille
  • Lille 2–1 Lens
  • Lens 1–1 Lille
  • Lens 1–1 Lille
  • Lille 1–0 Lens
  • Lille 1–2 Lens
  • Lens 1–0 Lille

7Context

Lille

Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d

Lens

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille · Referee: Jerome Brisard

8Red flags

No flags raised for this fixture right now.

Common questions

What is the team news for Lille vs Lens?
Lille's reported absences and doubts include T. Nianzou, M. Fernandez-Pardo, H. Igamane, Tiago Santos and 6 others. Lens's include A. Sima, M. Nawrocki, I. Ganiou, F. Ivanović and 13 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Lens?
In their last 10 meetings, Lille have won 5, Lens 3, with 2 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of those 10 meetings, and both teams scored in 4.