Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
LorientvStade Brestois 29
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29·
1Headline
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- Lorient46% · Match result
- Over 2.556% · Goals
- Yes57% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes Lorient the most likely of the three results, at 46% (we would not be surprised by anything from 36% to 56%). Most likely is not likely: at 46% this result does not happen 54% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Yesterday, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 56%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Lorient
Lineup not yet confirmed
- N. Mbamba — out (Muscle Injury)
- B. Fadiga — out (Injury)
- M. Bamba — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
Stade Brestois 29
Lineup not yet confirmed
- N. Edjouma — out (Muscle Injury)
- M. Balde — out (Injury)
- J. Bourgault — out (Knee Injury)
- M. Diambou — out (Ankle Injury)
- B. Chardonnet — out (Calf Injury)
- R. Cagnon — out (Shoulder Injury)
- H. Magnetti — out (Muscle Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
LorientDWWLD
- Sun 25 Oct · A v Angers 0–0(xG 0.6–0.3)
- Sun 18 Oct · H v Monaco 1–0
- Sat 10 Oct · H v Paris FC 1–0
- Sat 19 Sep · A v Le Mans 1–2
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Toulouse 2–2
Stade Brestois 29LDWLL
- Fri 23 Oct · H v Nice 1–2
- Sat 17 Oct · A v Lille 1–1
- Sat 10 Oct · H v Angers 5–1
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Auxerre 1–2
- Sun 13 Sep · H v Paris Saint Germain 0–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Lorient have won 2 of their last 5.
- Lorient have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 2 of Lorient's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Lorient's last 5.
- Lorient kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
- Stade Brestois 29 have won 1 of their last 5.
- Stade Brestois 29 have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Stade Brestois 29's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Stade Brestois 29's last 5.
- Stade Brestois 29 kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
In their last 8 meetings, Lorient have won 3, Stade Brestois 29 4, with 1 drawn.
- Lorient W–D–L
- 3–1–4
- Over 2.5
- 5 of 8
- Both scored
- 4 of 8
- Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Lorient
- Lorient 3–3 Stade Brestois 29
- Lorient 0–1 Stade Brestois 29
- Stade Brestois 29 4–0 Lorient
- Lorient 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
- Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Lorient
- Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Lorient
- Lorient 1–2 Stade Brestois 29
7Context
Lorient
Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d
Stade Brestois 29
Rest: 10 days · 1 match in 14d
Stade du Moustoir, Lorient · Referee: Jeremie Pignard
8Red flags
Lineups pending
Lineups not yet confirmed.
Common questions
- Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Our model makes Lorient the most likely result at 46%. Most likely is not likely — at 46% it does not happen 54% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 56%, and under 2.5 at 44%.
- Will both teams score in Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 57% chance, against 43% that at least one side is kept out.
- What is the team news for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Lorient's reported absences and doubts include N. Mbamba, B. Fadiga, M. Bamba. Stade Brestois 29's include N. Edjouma, M. Balde, J. Bourgault, M. Diambou and 3 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Stade Brestois 29?
- In their last 8 meetings, Lorient have won 3, Stade Brestois 29 4, with 1 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of those 8 meetings, and both teams scored in 4.