2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11
FC HeidenheimvHannover 96
FC Heidenheim
Hannover 96·
1Headline
We expect
2–11.7–1.2 goals
Likeliest exact score 1–1 (12%), then 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). FC Heidenheim and Hannover 96 finish on some other score 70% of the time. We show 2–1 above because it is the likeliest score that agrees with what we call on this match.
| FC / Han | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Percentage chance of each exact scoreline, FC Heidenheim down the side and Hannover 96 across. These 99.1% cover every result up to 5 goals a side; the remaining 0.9% is spread across higher scores.
Every other number on this page is a sum of this grid — the match result is the cells either side of the diagonal, over 2.5 is everything totalling three or more. We publish calibration for those sums, not for individual scorelines: no gate has ever graded our chance of exactly 2–1, so read a single cell as the shape of the forecast rather than a number we stand behind.
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- FC Heidenheim48% · Match result
- Over 2.555% · Goals
- Yes57% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes FC Heidenheim the most likely of the three results, at 48% (we would not be surprised by anything from 38% to 58%). Most likely is not likely: at 48% this result does not happen 52% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Yesterday, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 55%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
FC Heidenheim
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
Hannover 96
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
FC HeidenheimLDLDD
- Yesterday · A v Karlsruher SC 1–2
- Sat 24 Oct · H v Energie Cottbus 1–1
- Sat 17 Oct · A v VfL Wolfsburg 1–3
- Fri 9 Oct · H v 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–0
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Arminia Bielefeld 2–2
Hannover 96LDLWL
- Sun 25 Oct · A v Eintracht Braunschweig 0–2(xG 1.1–1.6)
- Sat 17 Oct · H v FC St. Pauli 1–1
- Sat 10 Oct · A v 1. FC Magdeburg 0–3
- Sun 20 Sep · H v Vfl Bochum 2–1
- Fri 11 Sep · A v 1. FC Nürnberg 1–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- FC Heidenheim have won 0 of their last 5.
- FC Heidenheim have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of FC Heidenheim's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of FC Heidenheim's last 5.
- FC Heidenheim kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Hannover 96 have won 1 of their last 5.
- Hannover 96 have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 3 of Hannover 96's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Hannover 96's last 5.
- Hannover 96 kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
FC Heidenheim
Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d
Hannover 96
Rest: 14 days · 2 matches in 14d
Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz
8Red flags
Lineups pending
Lineups not yet confirmed.
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- Who will win FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96?
- Our model makes FC Heidenheim the most likely result at 48%. Most likely is not likely — at 48% it does not happen 52% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 55%, and under 2.5 at 45%.
- Will both teams score in FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 57% chance, against 43% that at least one side is kept out.