2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11

Eintracht BraunschweigvEnergie Cottbus

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1Headline

We expect

1–21.5–2.1 goals

Likeliest exact score 1–2 (9%), then 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Eintracht Braunschweig and Energie Cottbus finish on some other score 75% of the time.

Probability of each scoreline, Eintracht Braunschweig goals down the side, Energie Cottbus across
Ein / Ene012345
0356420.9
1499631
2367531
3233210.6
40.6110.90.50.2
50.20.40.40.30.10.1

Percentage chance of each exact scoreline, Eintracht Braunschweig down the side and Energie Cottbus across. These 97.4% cover every result up to 5 goals a side; the remaining 2.6% is spread across higher scores.

Every other number on this page is a sum of this grid — the match result is the cells either side of the diagonal, over 2.5 is everything totalling three or more. We publish calibration for those sums, not for individual scorelines: no gate has ever graded our chance of exactly 2–1, so read a single cell as the shape of the forecast rather than a number we stand behind.

How many goals

Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.

Over 1.5
Over 1.5:, our forecast 84%, no price captured yet
Over 2.5
Over 2.5:, our forecast 66%, no price captured yet
Over 3.5
Over 3.5:, our forecast 45%, no price captured yet

What we think

  • Energie Cottbus51% · Match result
  • Over 2.566% · Goals
  • Yes62% · Both teams to score

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.

Our forecast makes Energie Cottbus the most likely of the three results, at 51% (we would not be surprised by anything from 31% to 67%). Most likely is not likely: at 51% this result does not happen 49% of the time.

Verify this forecast → Published Today, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.

On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 66%, with no price captured for it yet.

No market data captured yet for this fixture.

2Market

No odds captured yet.

Match result

Home27%vs—
Draw22%vs—
Away51%vs—

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.566%vs—
Under 2.534%vs—

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.584%vs—
Under 1.516%vs—

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.545%vs—
Under 3.555%vs—

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes62%vs—
No38%vs—

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Eintracht Braunschweig

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Energie Cottbus

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Eintracht BraunschweigLWLWL

  • Fri 30 Oct · A v Arminia Bielefeld 1–3(xG 0.4–1.3)
  • Sun 25 Oct · H v Hannover 96 2–0(xG 1.6–1.1)
  • Sat 17 Oct · A v SpVgg Greuther Furth 0–2
  • Fri 9 Oct · H v Holstein Kiel 1–0
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–1

Energie CottbusLDDLD

  • Fri 30 Oct · H v Vfl Bochum 1–2(xG 1.4–1.3)
  • Sat 24 Oct · A v FC Heidenheim 1–1
  • Fri 16 Oct · H v 1. FC Nürnberg 1–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v SV Darmstadt 98 1–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v FC St. Pauli 1–1

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Eintracht Braunschweig
  • Eintracht Braunschweig have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Eintracht Braunschweig have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Eintracht Braunschweig's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of Eintracht Braunschweig's last 5.
  • Eintracht Braunschweig kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Energie Cottbus
  • Energie Cottbus have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Energie Cottbus have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Energie Cottbus's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Energie Cottbus's last 5.
  • Energie Cottbus kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Eintracht Braunschweig

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Energie Cottbus

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Eintracht-Stadion, Braunschweig

8Red flags

Common questions

Who will win Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus?
Our model makes Energie Cottbus the most likely result at 51%. Most likely is not likely — at 51% it does not happen 49% of the time.
How many goals are expected in Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus?
Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 66%, and under 2.5 at 34%.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus?
Our model gives both teams to score a 62% chance, against 38% that at least one side is kept out.