2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10

Hannover 96vDynamo Dresden

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1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Hannover 96 a 45% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Hannover 96Model pendingMarket 45%
Hannover 96:, no forecast published, market 45%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 44% home · 25% draw · 31% away

Now: 45% home · 25% draw · 30% away

Moved +1pp — the market moved towards Hannover 96

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs45%
Draw—vs25%
Away—vs30%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs62%
Under 2.5—vs38%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs83%
Under 1.5—vs17%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs39%
Under 3.5—vs61%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs64%
No—vs36%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Hannover 96

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Dynamo Dresden

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Hannover 96LDLWL

  • Sun 25 Oct · A v Eintracht Braunschweig 0–2
  • Sat 17 Oct · H v FC St. Pauli 1–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v 1. FC Magdeburg 0–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Vfl Bochum 2–1
  • Fri 11 Sep · A v 1. FC Nürnberg 1–2

Dynamo DresdenLWDLD

  • Sun 25 Oct · A v Holstein Kiel 0–3
  • Sun 18 Oct · H v 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v VfL Osnabrück 1–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Hertha Berlin 1–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Eintracht Braunschweig 2–2

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Hannover 96
  • Hannover 96 have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Hannover 96 have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Hannover 96's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Hannover 96's last 5.
  • Hannover 96 kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Dynamo Dresden
  • Dynamo Dresden have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Dynamo Dresden have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Dynamo Dresden's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Dynamo Dresden's last 5.
  • Dynamo Dresden kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Hannover 96

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Dynamo Dresden

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover · Referee: Felix Weller

8Red flags