Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

FSV Mainz 05vBayern München

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2 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

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2Market

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Match result

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Goals over 2.5

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Goals over 1.5

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Goals over 3.5

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Both teams to score

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Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

FSV Mainz 05

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • R. Zentner — out (Hand Injury)
  • S. Widmer — out (Knee Injury)
  • B. Hollerbach — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • D. Kohr — out (Foot Injury)
  • Silas — out (Broken shinbone)
  • P. Nebel — out (Muscle Injury)
  • E. Martel — out (Knee Injury)

Bayern München

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • S. Gnabry — out (Muscle Injury)
  • J. Musiala — out (Health problems)
  • T. Buchmann — out (Knee Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

FSV Mainz 05LWWWD

  • Sun 8 Dec · A v VfL Wolfsburg 3–4
  • Sun 1 Dec · H v 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0
  • Sun 24 Nov · A v Holstein Kiel 3–0
  • Sat 9 Nov · H v Borussia Dortmund 3–1
  • Sun 3 Nov · A v SC Freiburg 0–0

Bayern MünchenWDWWW

  • Sat 7 Dec · H v FC Heidenheim 4–2
  • Sat 30 Nov · A v Borussia Dortmund 1–1
  • Fri 22 Nov · H v FC Augsburg 3–0
  • Sat 9 Nov · A v FC St. Pauli 1–0
  • Sat 2 Nov · H v Union Berlin 3–0

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 05 have won 3 of their last 5.
  • FSV Mainz 05 have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of FSV Mainz 05's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of FSV Mainz 05's last 5.
  • FSV Mainz 05 kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
Bayern München
  • Bayern München have won 4 of their last 5.
  • Bayern München have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Bayern München's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Bayern München's last 5.
  • Bayern München kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

In their last 6 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 have won 2, Bayern München 4, with 0 drawn.

FSV Mainz 05 W–D–L
2–0–4
Over 2.5
6 of 6
Both scored
6 of 6
  • Bayern München 8–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Bayern München
  • FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Bayern München
  • Bayern München 6–2 FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Bayern München
  • Bayern München 2–1 FSV Mainz 05

7Context

FSV Mainz 05

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Bayern München

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

MEWA ARENA, Mainz · Referee: F. Willenborg

8Red flags

No flags raised for this fixture right now.

Common questions

What is the team news for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
FSV Mainz 05's reported absences and doubts include R. Zentner, S. Widmer, B. Hollerbach, D. Kohr and 3 others. Bayern München's include S. Gnabry, J. Musiala, T. Buchmann. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 have won 2, Bayern München 4, with 0 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of those 6 meetings, and both teams scored in 6.