Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
SV ElversbergvFSV Mainz 05
SV Elversberg
FSV Mainz 05·
4 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives FSV Mainz 05 a 45% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
Open: 31% home · 25% draw · 45% away
Now: 31% home · 25% draw · 45% away
Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
SV Elversberg
Lineup not yet confirmed
- T. Zimmerschied — out (Ankle Injury)
- J. Gyamerah — out (Thigh Injury)
- N. Darvich — out (Hamstring Injury)
- C. Campbell — out (Ankle Injury)
- F. Onyeka — out (Foot Injury)
- L. Seifert — out (Ankle Injury)
FSV Mainz 05
Lineup not yet confirmed
- O. Ruoppi — out (Knee Injury)
- R. Zentner — out (Hand Injury)
- S. Widmer — out (Knee Injury)
- B. Hollerbach — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
- D. Kohr — out (Foot Injury)
- Silas — out (Broken shinbone)
- P. Nebel — out (Muscle Injury)
- E. Martel — out (Knee Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
SV ElversbergLWLDL
- Sat 24 Oct · A v RB Leipzig 0–4
- Sat 17 Oct · H v FC Augsburg 4–3
- Sat 10 Oct · A v Union Berlin 0–1
- Sun 20 Sep · A v FC Schalke 04 0–0
- Sun 13 Sep · H v Bayern München 1–2
FSV Mainz 05LWLWL
- Sat 24 Oct · H v Werder Bremen 2–3
- Sat 17 Oct · A v FC Schalke 04 1–0
- Sat 10 Oct · H v Bayer Leverkusen 3–4
- Sat 19 Sep · A v Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–3
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- SV Elversberg have won 1 of their last 5.
- SV Elversberg have scored in 2 of their last 5.
- 3 of SV Elversberg's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of SV Elversberg's last 5.
- SV Elversberg kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- FSV Mainz 05 have won 2 of their last 5.
- FSV Mainz 05 have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of FSV Mainz 05's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of FSV Mainz 05's last 5.
- FSV Mainz 05 kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
SV Elversberg
Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d
FSV Mainz 05
Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg · Referee: S. Stegemann
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
- SV Elversberg's reported absences and doubts include T. Zimmerschied, J. Gyamerah, N. Darvich, C. Campbell and 2 others. FSV Mainz 05's include O. Ruoppi, R. Zentner, S. Widmer, B. Hollerbach and 4 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.