Super League 1 · Regular Season - 10
AEK Athens FCvLevadiakos
AEK Athens FC
Levadiakos·
1Headline
We expect
2–12.4–0.7 goals
Likeliest exact score 2–0 (13%), then 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). AEK Athens FC and Levadiakos finish on some other score 66% of the time. We show 2–1 above because it is the likeliest score that agrees with what we call on this match.
| AEK / Lev | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Percentage chance of each exact scoreline, AEK Athens FC down the side and Levadiakos across. These 96.5% cover every result up to 5 goals a side; the remaining 3.5% is spread across higher scores.
Every other number on this page is a sum of this grid — the match result is the cells either side of the diagonal, over 2.5 is everything totalling three or more. We publish calibration for those sums, not for individual scorelines: no gate has ever graded our chance of exactly 2–1, so read a single cell as the shape of the forecast rather than a number we stand behind.
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- AEK Athens FC75% · Match result
- Over 2.559% · Goals
- Yes51% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes AEK Athens FC the most likely of the three results, at 75% (we would not be surprised by anything from 64% to 83%). Most likely is not likely: at 75% this result does not happen 25% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Today, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 59%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
AEK Athens FC
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
Levadiakos
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
AEK Athens FCWWWDW
- Sat 24 Oct · H v Panetolikos 5–0
- Sat 10 Oct · H v OFI 3–0
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Volos NFC 2–1
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Asteras Tripolis 1–1
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Aris Thessalonikis 5–0
LevadiakosDDLLD
- Sat 24 Oct · A v Asteras Tripolis 0–0
- Sat 17 Oct · H v Volos NFC 0–0
- Sun 11 Oct · A v Iraklis 1908 0–2
- Sun 20 Sep · H v Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Kifisia 0–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- AEK Athens FC have won 4 of their last 5.
- AEK Athens FC have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of AEK Athens FC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of AEK Athens FC's last 5.
- AEK Athens FC kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
- Levadiakos have won 0 of their last 5.
- Levadiakos have scored in 0 of their last 5.
- 0 of Levadiakos's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 0 of Levadiakos's last 5.
- Levadiakos kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
AEK Athens FC
Rest: 15 days · 0 matches in 14d
Levadiakos
Rest: 15 days · 0 matches in 14d
Allwyn Arena, Athens
8Red flags
Lineups pending
Lineups not yet confirmed.
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos?
- Our model makes AEK Athens FC the most likely result at 75%. Most likely is not likely — at 75% it does not happen 25% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 59%, and under 2.5 at 41%.
- Will both teams score in AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 51% chance, against 49% that at least one side is kept out.