Serie A · Regular Season - 9

AS RomavCagliari

·

4 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives AS Roma a 73% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

AS RomaModel pendingMarket 73%
AS Roma:, no forecast published, market 73%

2Market

Open: 73% home · 18% draw · 9% away

Now: 73% home · 18% draw · 9% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs73%
Draw—vs18%
Away—vs9%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs59%
Under 2.5—vs41%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs80%
Under 1.5—vs20%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs36%
Under 3.5—vs64%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs48%
No—vs52%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

AS Roma

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • M. Bah — out (Knee Injury)
  • D. Malen — out (Red Card)
  • M. Kone — out (Muscle Injury)
  • P. Dybala — out (Calf Injury)
  • M. Svilar — out (Toe Injury)
  • K. Koulierakis — out (Knock)
  • B. Cristante — out (Knee Injury)
  • E. Ndicka — out (Illness)
  • D. Rensch — out (Muscle Injury)
  • L. Balerdi — out (Calf Injury)
  • L. Pellegrini — out (Thigh Injury)

Cagliari

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • Y. Trepy — out (Injury)
  • M. Felici — out (Knee Injury)
  • H. Winks — out (Back Injury)
  • Riyad Idrissi — out (Jumpers Knee)
  • M'Bala Nzola — out (Fitness)
  • J. Pedro — doubtful (Injury)
  • Y. Mina — out (Calf Injury)
  • M. Nzola — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • Y. Sugawara — out (Inactive)
  • Kevin — out (Personal Reasons)
  • R. Idrissi — out (Knee Injury)
  • S. Esposito — out (Injury)
  • A. Albarracin — out (Inactive)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

AS RomaDWDDW

  • Sat 24 Oct · A v Napoli 3–3
  • Sat 17 Oct · H v Genoa 2–0
  • Sun 11 Oct · A v Como 0–0
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Inter 2–2(xG 1.7–2.4)
  • Mon 14 Sep · A v Torino 2–0(xG 1.9–0.8)

CagliariLLDWW

  • Sat 24 Oct · H v Bologna 0–2
  • Mon 19 Oct · A v Monza 0–4
  • Sun 11 Oct · H v Juventus 1–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Udinese 1–0(xG 1.1–1.9)
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Atalanta 2–1(xG 1.3–1.7)

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

AS Roma
  • AS Roma have won 2 of their last 5.
  • AS Roma have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of AS Roma's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of AS Roma's last 5.
  • AS Roma kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
Cagliari
  • Cagliari have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Cagliari have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Cagliari's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Cagliari's last 5.
  • Cagliari kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

In their last 8 meetings, AS Roma have won 6, Cagliari 1, with 1 drawn.

AS Roma W–D–L
6–1–1
Over 2.5
3 of 8
Both scored
2 of 8
  • AS Roma 2–0 Cagliari
  • Cagliari 1–0 AS Roma
  • AS Roma 1–0 Cagliari
  • Cagliari 0–0 AS Roma
  • AS Roma 4–0 Cagliari
  • Cagliari 1–4 AS Roma
  • AS Roma 1–0 Cagliari
  • Cagliari 1–2 AS Roma

7Context

AS Roma

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Cagliari

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Stadio Olimpico, Roma · Referee: E. Feliciani

8Red flags

No flags raised for this fixture right now.

Common questions

What is the team news for AS Roma vs Cagliari?
AS Roma's reported absences and doubts include M. Bah, D. Malen, M. Kone, P. Dybala and 7 others. Cagliari's include Y. Trepy, M. Felici, H. Winks, Riyad Idrissi and 9 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Cagliari?
In their last 8 meetings, AS Roma have won 6, Cagliari 1, with 1 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of those 8 meetings, and both teams scored in 2.