Serie A · Regular Season - 9

FiorentinavAtalanta

·

2 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Fiorentina a 42% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

FiorentinaModel pendingMarket 42%
Fiorentina:, no forecast published, market 42%

Matches we've forecast today

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2Market

Open: 42% home · 26% draw · 32% away

Now: 42% home · 26% draw · 32% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs42%
Draw—vs26%
Away—vs32%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs59%
Under 2.5—vs41%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs80%
Under 1.5—vs20%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs37%
Under 3.5—vs63%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs62%
No—vs38%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Fiorentina

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • F. Parisi — out (Knee Injury)
  • L. Ranieri — out (Leg Injury)
  • M. Pongracic — out (Muscle Injury)
  • A. Atta — out (Abdominal strain)
  • C. Inao Oulai — doubtful (Injury)
  • F. Croci — doubtful (Injury)
  • M. Kean — out (Transfer negotiations)
  • R. Sottil — out (Back Injury)

Atalanta

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • T. Kristensen — out (Muscle Injury)
  • G. Gaetano — out (Muscle Injury)
  • K. Sulemana — out (Knee Injury)
  • I. Hien — out (Muscle Injury)
  • G. Scamacca — out (Thigh Injury)
  • S. Kolasinac — out (Thigh Injury)
  • R. Bellanova — out (Thigh Injury)
  • G. Scalvini — out (Thigh Injury)
  • G. Raspadori — out (Thigh Injury)
  • F. Kessie — out (Calf Injury)
  • E. Elmas — out (Red Card)
  • O. Kossounou — out (Thigh Injury)
  • J. Rowe — out (Inactive)
  • H. Ahanor — out (Muscle Injury)
  • I. Sulemana — doubtful (Knee Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

FiorentinaLLLDW

  • Sun 25 Oct · A v Inter 1–2(xG 0.2–3.1)
  • Sun 18 Oct · H v Como 1–3
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v Genoa 1–2
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Napoli 1–1(xG 0.9–1.4)
  • Fri 11 Sep · A v Venezia 4–2(xG 3.4–0.7)

AtalantaDLWLL

  • Sun 25 Oct · H v Frosinone 4–4(xG 3.9–1.9)
  • Sun 18 Oct · A v AC Milan 2–3
  • Mon 12 Oct · H v Venezia 3–1
  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Juventus 0–2(xG 0.6–1.3)
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Cagliari 1–2(xG 1.7–1.3)

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Fiorentina have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Fiorentina's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Fiorentina's last 5.
  • Fiorentina kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Atalanta
  • Atalanta have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Atalanta have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Atalanta's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 5.
  • Atalanta kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

In their last 10 meetings, Fiorentina have won 5, Atalanta 3, with 2 drawn.

Fiorentina W–D–L
5–2–3
Over 2.5
4 of 10
Both scored
6 of 10
  • Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta
  • Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta
  • Atalanta 3–2 Fiorentina
  • Atalanta 2–3 Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina 3–2 Atalanta
  • Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta
  • Atalanta 1–0 Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta
  • Atalanta 1–2 Fiorentina

7Context

Fiorentina

Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d

Atalanta

Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d

Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze · Referee: F. La Penna

8Red flags

No flags raised for this fixture right now.

Common questions

What is the team news for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Fiorentina's reported absences and doubts include F. Parisi, L. Ranieri, M. Pongracic, A. Atta and 4 others. Atalanta's include T. Kristensen, G. Gaetano, K. Sulemana, I. Hien and 11 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Atalanta?
In their last 10 meetings, Fiorentina have won 5, Atalanta 3, with 2 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of those 10 meetings, and both teams scored in 6.