Serie A · Regular Season - 7

MonzavCagliari

·

4 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Monza a 40% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

MonzaModel pendingMarket 40%
Monza:, no forecast published, market 40%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

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2Market

Open: 40% home · 30% draw · 30% away

Now: 40% home · 30% draw · 30% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs40%
Draw—vs30%
Away—vs30%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs45%
Under 2.5—vs55%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs71%
Under 1.5—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs24%
Under 3.5—vs76%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs52%
No—vs48%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Monza

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • M. Folorunsho — out (Coach's decision)
  • E. Zeballos — out (Knee Injury)
  • Y. Maye — out (Muscle Injury)
  • L. Lucchesi — out (Red Card)
  • I. Toure — out (Knee Injury)
  • M. Pessina — out (Knee Injury)
  • P. Ciurria — out (Muscle Injury)
  • J. Ziółkowski — out (Foot Injury)
  • I. Touré — out (Contusion)
  • C. Ngonge — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • J. Ziolkowski — out (Foot Injury)
  • G. Varela — out (Thigh Injury)
  • D. Thiam — out (Yellow Cards)
  • D. Mota — out (Suspended)
  • L. Colombo — out (Injury)
  • E. Akinsanmiro — out (Muscle Injury)

Cagliari

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • H. Winks — out (Back Injury)
  • Y. Trepy — out (Injury)
  • M. Felici — out (Knee Injury)
  • Riyad Idrissi — out (Jumpers Knee)
  • M'Bala Nzola — out (Fitness)
  • J. Pedro — doubtful (Injury)
  • Y. Mina — out (Calf Injury)
  • M. Nzola — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • Y. Sugawara — out (Inactive)
  • Kevin — out (Personal Reasons)
  • R. Idrissi — out (Knee Injury)
  • S. Esposito — out (Injury)
  • A. Albarracin — out (Inactive)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

MonzaLWLDL

  • Sun 11 Oct · A v Lazio 1–3
  • Fri 18 Sep · H v Sassuolo 2–1(xG 1.4–1.6)
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Lecce 2–3(xG 2.8–1.1)
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Parma 1–1
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Udinese 2–3(xG 1.6–0.9)

CagliariDWWWL

  • Sun 11 Oct · H v Juventus 1–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Udinese 1–0(xG 1.1–1.9)
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Atalanta 2–1(xG 1.3–1.7)
  • Mon 7 Sep · H v Lecce 1–0
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v Inter 0–1(xG 0.5–3.8)

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Monza
  • Monza have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Monza have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Monza's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Monza's last 5.
  • Monza kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Cagliari
  • Cagliari have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Cagliari have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Cagliari's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Cagliari's last 5.
  • Cagliari kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 4 prior meetings on record — thin sample.

In their last 4 meetings, Monza have won 1, Cagliari 2, with 1 drawn.

Monza W–D–L
1–1–2
Over 2.5
2 of 4
Both scored
2 of 4
  • Cagliari 3–0 Monza
  • Monza 1–2 Cagliari
  • Monza 1–0 Cagliari
  • Cagliari 1–1 Monza

7Context

Monza

Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d

Cagliari

Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d

U-Power Stadium, Monza · Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Monza vs Cagliari?
Monza's reported absences and doubts include M. Folorunsho, E. Zeballos, Y. Maye, L. Lucchesi and 12 others. Cagliari's include H. Winks, Y. Trepy, M. Felici, Riyad Idrissi and 9 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Cagliari?
In their last 4 meetings, Monza have won 1, Cagliari 2, with 1 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of those 4 meetings, and both teams scored in 2.