Serie A · Regular Season - 9
MonzavNapoli
Monza
Napoli·
1 – 4 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Napoli a 55% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
Open: 21% home · 24% draw · 55% away
Now: 21% home · 24% draw · 55% away
Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Monza
Lineup not yet confirmed
- I. Toure — out (Knee Injury)
- M. Pessina — out (Knee Injury)
- P. Ciurria — out (Muscle Injury)
- M. Folorunsho — out (Coach's decision)
- E. Zeballos — out (Knee Injury)
- Y. Maye — out (Muscle Injury)
- L. Lucchesi — out (Red Card)
- J. Ziółkowski — out (Foot Injury)
- I. Touré — out (Contusion)
- C. Ngonge — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
- J. Ziolkowski — out (Foot Injury)
- G. Varela — out (Thigh Injury)
- D. Thiam — out (Yellow Cards)
- D. Mota — out (Suspended)
- L. Colombo — out (Injury)
- E. Akinsanmiro — out (Muscle Injury)
Napoli
Lineup not yet confirmed
- L. Spinazzola — out (Thigh Injury)
- F. Anguissa — out (Groin Injury)
- A. Buongiorno — out (Knee Injury)
- V. Milinkovic-Savic — out (Muscle Injury)
- R. Hojlund — out (Illness)
- S. Lobotka — out (Ankle Injury)
- B. Badiashile — out (Injury)
- David Neres — out (Thigh Injury)
- A. Vergara — out (Calf Injury)
- M. Olivera — out (Groin Injury)
- C. Favasuli — out (Thigh Injury)
- Luca Marianucci — out (Jumpers Knee)
- A. Meret — out (Muscle Injury)
- Alisson Santos — out (Muscle Injury)
- Giovane — out (Groin Injury)
- S. McTominay — out (Heart Problems)
- P. Mazzocchi — out (Knee Injury)
- L. Marianucci — out (Knee Injury)
- M. Folorunsho — out (Inactive)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
MonzaLWLWL
- Fri 23 Oct · A v Torino 2–3
- Mon 19 Oct · H v Cagliari 4–0
- Sun 11 Oct · A v Lazio 1–3
- Fri 18 Sep · H v Sassuolo 2–1(xG 1.4–1.6)
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Lecce 2–3(xG 2.8–1.1)
NapoliDLWDW
- Sat 24 Oct · H v AS Roma 3–3
- Sat 17 Oct · A v Venezia 0–1
- Sat 10 Oct · H v Frosinone 3–0
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Fiorentina 1–1(xG 1.4–0.9)
- Sun 13 Sep · H v Bologna 1–0(xG 1.8–0.3)
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Monza have won 2 of their last 5.
- Monza have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 5 of Monza's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Monza's last 5.
- Monza kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Napoli have won 2 of their last 5.
- Napoli have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 2 of Napoli's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Napoli's last 5.
- Napoli kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
In their last 6 meetings, Monza have won 1, Napoli 4, with 1 drawn.
- Monza W–D–L
- 1–1–4
- Over 2.5
- 2 of 6
- Both scored
- 1 of 6
- Monza 0–1 Napoli
- Napoli 2–0 Monza
- Monza 2–4 Napoli
- Napoli 0–0 Monza
- Monza 2–0 Napoli
- Napoli 4–0 Monza
7Context
Monza
Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d
Napoli
Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d
U-Power Stadium, Monza · Referee: G. Ayroldi
8Red flags
No flags raised for this fixture right now.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Monza vs Napoli?
- Monza's reported absences and doubts include I. Toure, M. Pessina, P. Ciurria, M. Folorunsho and 12 others. Napoli's include L. Spinazzola, F. Anguissa, A. Buongiorno, V. Milinkovic-Savic and 15 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Napoli?
- In their last 6 meetings, Monza have won 1, Napoli 4, with 1 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of those 6 meetings, and both teams scored in 1.