Serie A · Regular Season - 9

ParmavUdinese

·

0 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Udinese a 36% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

UdineseModel pendingMarket 36%
Udinese:, no forecast published, market 36%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

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2Market

Open: 32% home · 30% draw · 38% away

Now: 33% home · 30% draw · 36% away

Moved −2pp — the market moved away from Udinese

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs33%
Draw—vs30%
Away—vs36%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs43%
Under 2.5—vs57%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs69%
Under 1.5—vs31%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs22%
Under 3.5—vs78%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs50%
No—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Parma

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • A. Bernabe — out (Inactive)
  • H. Nicolussi Caviglia — out (Thigh Injury)
  • L. Valenti — out (Coach's decision)
  • N. Elphege — out (Illness)
  • A. Ndiaye — out (Knock)
  • P. Almqvist — out (Calf Injury)
  • H. Nicolussi — out (Groin Injury)
  • O. Diallo — out (Injury)
  • A. Joujou — out (Inactive)
  • S. Britschgi — out (Yellow Cards)

Udinese

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • A. Zanoli — doubtful (Muscle Injury)
  • O. Solet — doubtful (Muscle Injury)
  • V. Bayo — doubtful (Thigh Injury)
  • M. Palma — out (Muscle Injury)
  • J. Arizala — out (Thigh Injury)
  • D. Alaba — out (Calf Injury)
  • I. Gueye — out (Ankle Injury)
  • J. Piotrowski — out (Heart Problems)
  • G. Chakvetadze — out (Foot Injury)
  • N. Zaniolo — out (Thigh Injury)
  • C. Kabasele — out (Red Card)
  • A. Buksa — out (Inactive)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

ParmaLLLWL

  • Sat 24 Oct · A v Lazio 1–2
  • Mon 19 Oct · H v Torino 0–3
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v Inter 0–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Genoa 2–1(xG 0.3–0.8)
  • Mon 14 Sep · A v Como 1–2(xG 1.2–3.2)

UdineseLLLLL

  • Sun 25 Oct · H v AC Milan 0–2(xG 0.6–3.6)
  • Sun 18 Oct · H v Lecce 0–3
  • Mon 12 Oct · A v Torino 1–2
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Cagliari 0–1(xG 1.9–1.1)
  • Mon 14 Sep · A v Inter 3–5(xG 0.9–3.1)

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Parma
  • Parma have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Parma have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 5 of Parma's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Parma's last 5.
  • Parma kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Udinese
  • Udinese have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Udinese have scored in 2 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Udinese's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Udinese's last 5.
  • Udinese kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 4 prior meetings on record — thin sample.

In their last 4 meetings, Parma have won 1, Udinese 3, with 0 drawn.

Parma W–D–L
1–0–3
Over 2.5
1 of 4
Both scored
1 of 4
  • Udinese 0–1 Parma
  • Parma 0–2 Udinese
  • Udinese 1–0 Parma
  • Parma 2–3 Udinese

7Context

Parma

Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d

Udinese

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma · Referee: D. Massa

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Parma vs Udinese?
Parma's reported absences and doubts include A. Bernabe, H. Nicolussi Caviglia, L. Valenti, N. Elphege and 6 others. Udinese's include A. Zanoli, O. Solet, V. Bayo, M. Palma and 8 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Udinese?
In their last 4 meetings, Parma have won 1, Udinese 3, with 0 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of those 4 meetings, and both teams scored in 1.