Serie A · Regular Season - 9

SassuolovLazio

·

2 – 6 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Lazio a 44% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

LazioModel pendingMarket 44%
Lazio:, no forecast published, market 44%

2Market

Open: 29% home · 27% draw · 44% away

Now: 29% home · 27% draw · 44% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs29%
Draw—vs27%
Away—vs44%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs57%
Under 2.5—vs43%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs80%
Under 1.5—vs20%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs35%
Under 3.5—vs65%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs62%
No—vs38%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Sassuolo

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • S. Walukiewicz — out (Muscle Injury)
  • C. Volpato — out (Thigh Injury)
  • E. Pieragnolo — out (Knee Injury)
  • Y. Paz — out (Knee Injury)
  • D. Boloca — out (Muscle Injury)
  • K. Thorstvedt — out (Red Card)
  • F. Leysen — out (Knee Injury)
  • Fali Candé — out (Jumpers Knee)
  • I. Koné — out (Broken Leg)
  • J. Idzes — out (Muscle Injury)
  • D. Bakola — doubtful (Muscle Injury)
  • A. Pinamonti — out (Injury)
  • I. Kone — out (Broken Leg)
  • F. Cande — out (Knee Injury)
  • D. Berardi — out (Ankle Injury)

Lazio

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • L. Pellegrini — out (Inactive)
  • N. Rovella — out (Calf Injury)
  • Patric — out (Ankle Injury)
  • A. Furlanetto — out (Knee Injury)
  • F. Dele-Bashiru — out (Muscle Injury)
  • A. Gudmundsson — out (Shoulder Injury)
  • M. Cancellieri — out (Leg Injury)
  • A. Marušić — out (Muscle Bruise)
  • D. Doekhi — out (Hand Injury)
  • D. Cataldi — out (Groin Injury)
  • J. Sutalo — doubtful (Coach's decision)
  • A. Marusic — out (Muscle Injury)
  • S. Gigot — out (Inactive)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

SassuoloLLDLW

  • Sat 24 Oct · A v Como 0–2
  • Fri 16 Oct · A v Frosinone 2–4
  • Sun 11 Oct · H v AC Milan 1–1
  • Fri 18 Sep · A v Monza 1–2(xG 1.6–1.4)
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Juventus 3–2(xG 1.0–1.1)

LazioWWWWD

  • Sat 24 Oct · H v Parma 2–1
  • Sun 18 Oct · A v Juventus 3–0
  • Sun 11 Oct · H v Monza 3–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Venezia 2–0(xG 1.6–1.9)
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v AC Milan 2–2(xG 2.0–1.1)

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Sassuolo have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Sassuolo's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Sassuolo's last 5.
  • Sassuolo kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Lazio
  • Lazio have won 4 of their last 5.
  • Lazio have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Lazio's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Lazio's last 5.
  • Lazio kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

In their last 8 meetings, Sassuolo have won 2, Lazio 5, with 1 drawn.

Sassuolo W–D–L
2–1–5
Over 2.5
3 of 8
Both scored
4 of 8
  • Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 1–0 Lazio
  • Lazio 1–1 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 0–2 Lazio
  • Lazio 2–0 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 0–2 Lazio
  • Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 2–1 Lazio

7Context

Sassuolo

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Lazio

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio nell'Emilia · Referee: L. Zufferli

8Red flags

No flags raised for this fixture right now.

Common questions

What is the team news for Sassuolo vs Lazio?
Sassuolo's reported absences and doubts include S. Walukiewicz, C. Volpato, E. Pieragnolo, Y. Paz and 11 others. Lazio's include L. Pellegrini, N. Rovella, Patric, A. Furlanetto and 9 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and Lazio?
In their last 8 meetings, Sassuolo have won 2, Lazio 5, with 1 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of those 8 meetings, and both teams scored in 4.