Serie A · Regular Season - 9

VeneziavInter

·

0 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Inter a 72% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

InterModel pendingMarket 72%
Inter:, no forecast published, market 72%

2Market

Open: 11% home · 17% draw · 72% away

Now: 11% home · 17% draw · 72% away

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs11%
Draw—vs17%
Away—vs72%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs71%
Under 2.5—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs89%
Under 1.5—vs11%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs50%
Under 3.5—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs61%
No—vs39%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Venezia

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • T. Correia — doubtful (Thigh Injury)
  • R. Haps — out (Injury)
  • G. Busio — out (Thigh Injury)
  • A. Bella-Kotchap — out (Thigh Injury)
  • A. Adorante — out (Hernia)
  • P. Mazzocchi — out (Calf Injury)
  • B. Franjic — out (Shoulder Injury)
  • M. Šverko — out (Hip Injury)
  • T. Bašić — out (Foot Injury)
  • B. Franjić — out (Wound)
  • M. Dagasso — out (Inactive)
  • T. Basic — out (Foot Injury)
  • M. Moreno — out (Health problems)
  • A. Rrahmani — doubtful (Injury)
  • A. Duncan — out (Injury)
  • M. Sverko — out (Hip Injury)

Inter

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • J. Stones — out (Muscle Injury)
  • D. Spence — out (Injury)
  • M. Spinacce — out (Inactive)
  • Luis Henrique — out (Thigh Injury)
  • B. Pavard — out (Thigh Injury)
  • L. Martinez — out (Thigh Injury)
  • C. Jones — out (Thigh Injury)
  • H. Calhanoglu — out (Muscle Injury)
  • H. Mkhitaryan — out (Suspended)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

VeneziaLWLLL

  • Sun 25 Oct · A v Genoa 0–1(xG 1.8–0.4)
  • Sat 17 Oct · H v Napoli 1–0
  • Mon 12 Oct · A v Atalanta 1–3
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Lazio 0–2(xG 1.9–1.6)
  • Fri 11 Sep · H v Fiorentina 2–4(xG 0.7–3.4)

InterWWWDW

  • Sun 25 Oct · H v Fiorentina 2–1(xG 3.1–0.2)
  • Sat 17 Oct · A v Bologna 3–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · H v Parma 3–0
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v AS Roma 2–2(xG 2.4–1.7)
  • Mon 14 Sep · H v Udinese 5–3(xG 3.1–0.9)

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Venezia
  • Venezia have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Venezia have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Venezia's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Venezia's last 5.
  • Venezia kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Inter
  • Inter have won 4 of their last 5.
  • Inter have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 5 of Inter's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Inter's last 5.
  • Inter kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 4 prior meetings on record — thin sample.

In their last 4 meetings, Venezia have won 0, Inter 4, with 0 drawn.

Venezia W–D–L
0–0–4
Over 2.5
1 of 4
Both scored
1 of 4
  • Venezia 0–1 Inter
  • Inter 1–0 Venezia
  • Inter 2–1 Venezia
  • Venezia 0–2 Inter

7Context

Venezia

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Inter

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia · Referee: L. Pairetto

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Venezia vs Inter?
Venezia's reported absences and doubts include T. Correia, R. Haps, G. Busio, A. Bella-Kotchap and 12 others. Inter's include J. Stones, D. Spence, M. Spinacce, Luis Henrique and 5 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between Venezia and Inter?
In their last 4 meetings, Venezia have won 0, Inter 4, with 0 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of those 4 meetings, and both teams scored in 1.