Liga MX · Apertura - 7
Club AmericavClub Tijuana
Club America
Club Tijuana·
1Headline
What we think
- Club America59% · Match result
- Over 1.574% · Goals
- Yes50% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes Club America the most likely of the three results, at 59% (we would not be surprised by anything from 42% to 74%). Most likely is not likely: at 59% this result does not happen 41% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Fri 4 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals we are saying nothing today: this market did not pass our own calibration checks, and a number we cannot stand behind is worse than no number.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
Withheld: this market failed our own calibration checks, so we are not showing a number we do not trust. The price is still below.
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
Withheld: this market failed our own calibration checks, so we are not showing a number we do not trust. The price is still below.
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Club America
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
Club Tijuana
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Club AmericaWDLWW
- Yesterday · A v Necaxa 4–2
- Sun 20 Sep · H v Guadalajara Chivas 2–2
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Cruz Azul 3–4
- Sun 30 Aug · H v Puebla 2–0(xG 0.8–0.8)
- Sat 22 Aug · A v FC Juarez 2–1
Club TijuanaLDLWL
- Sat 26 Sep · H v Atlas 2–3
- Mon 21 Sep · A v CF Pachuca 2–2
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Club Queretaro 0–1
- Sat 29 Aug · H v U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2–0(xG 2.5–0.4)
- Sat 22 Aug · A v Guadalajara Chivas 2–5
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Club America have won 3 of their last 5.
- Club America have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Club America's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Club America's last 5.
- Club America kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Club Tijuana have won 1 of their last 5.
- Club Tijuana have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Club Tijuana's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Club Tijuana's last 5.
- Club Tijuana kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Club America
Rest: 31 days · 0 matches in 14d
Club Tijuana
Rest: 33 days · 0 matches in 14d
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
8Red flags
Lineups pending
Lineups not yet confirmed.
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Wide interval
The model's confidence interval is wide.
Common questions
- Who will win Club America vs Club Tijuana?
- Our model makes Club America the most likely result at 59%. Most likely is not likely — at 59% it does not happen 41% of the time.
- Will both teams score in Club America vs Club Tijuana?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 50% chance, against 50% that at least one side is kept out.