Liga MX · Apertura - 12

LeonvClub America

·

3 – 5 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Club America a 45% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Club AmericaModel pendingMarket 45%
Club America:, no forecast published, market 45%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 29% home · 26% draw · 45% away

Now: 29% home · 26% draw · 45% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs29%
Draw—vs26%
Away—vs45%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs56%
Under 2.5—vs44%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs79%
Under 1.5—vs21%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs34%
Under 3.5—vs66%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs59%
No—vs41%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Leon

Confirmed · 4-1-4-1

No reported absences.

Club America

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

LeonDWDWL

  • Sat 10 Oct · A v Puebla 1–1
  • Mon 28 Sep · H v FC Juarez 2–1
  • Mon 21 Sep · A v Club Queretaro 1–1
  • Tue 15 Sep · H v Atletico San Luis 2–0
  • Fri 11 Sep · A v U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–3

Club AmericaDWDLW

  • Sun 11 Oct · H v Monterrey 1–1
  • Mon 28 Sep · A v Necaxa 4–2
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Guadalajara Chivas 2–2
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Cruz Azul 3–4
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v Puebla 2–0(xG 0.8–0.8)

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Leon
  • Leon have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Leon have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Leon's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Leon's last 5.
  • Leon kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Club America
  • Club America have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Club America have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Club America's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Club America's last 5.
  • Club America kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Leon

Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d

Club America

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Estadio Leon, Leon · Referee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas, Mexico

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Leon vs Club America?
Leon line up in a 4-1-4-1, Club America in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.