Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

DordrechtvAlmere City FC

·

3 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Almere City FC a 46% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Almere City FCModel pendingMarket 46%
Almere City FC:, no forecast published, market 46%

2Market

Open: 31% home · 24% draw · 45% away

Now: 31% home · 23% draw · 46% away

Moved −1pp — the market moved away from the draw

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 11 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs31%
Draw—vs23%
Away—vs46%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs71%
Under 2.5—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs89%
Under 1.5—vs11%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs50%
Under 3.5—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs71%
No—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Dordrecht

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

Almere City FC

Confirmed · 4-3-3

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

DordrechtLLLLL

  • Fri 18 Sep · A v FC OSS 0–3
  • Fri 11 Sep · A v FC Eindhoven 1–2
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Jong AZ 3–6
  • Fri 28 Aug · A v FC Volendam 1–6
  • Fri 21 Aug · H v Roda 0–1

Almere City FCWWLWW

  • Fri 18 Sep · H v Heracles 1–0
  • Fri 11 Sep · A v MVV 4–0
  • Fri 4 Sep · H v Jong Ajax 0–1
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v De Graafschap 4–1
  • Fri 21 Aug · A v Vitesse 3–0

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Dordrecht
  • Dordrecht have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Dordrecht have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Dordrecht's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Dordrecht's last 5.
  • Dordrecht kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Almere City FC
  • Almere City FC have won 4 of their last 5.
  • Almere City FC have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Almere City FC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of Almere City FC's last 5.
  • Almere City FC kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Dordrecht

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Almere City FC

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht · Referee: Rick Sturm

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?
Dordrecht line up in a 4-2-3-1, Almere City FC in a 4-3-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.