Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

EmmenvFC OSS

·

1 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Emmen a 60% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

EmmenModel pendingMarket 60%
Emmen:, no forecast published, market 60%

2Market

Open: 63% home · 19% draw · 17% away

Now: 60% home · 21% draw · 19% away

Moved −3pp — the market moved away from Emmen

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 10 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs60%
Draw—vs21%
Away—vs19%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs64%
Under 2.5—vs36%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs85%
Under 1.5—vs15%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs42%
Under 3.5—vs58%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs61%
No—vs39%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Emmen

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

FC OSS

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

EmmenLLWLW

  • Fri 18 Sep · A v FC Eindhoven 1–3
  • Fri 11 Sep · H v De Graafschap 1–2
  • Fri 4 Sep · H v FC Volendam 5–3
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v VVV Venlo 0–4
  • Fri 21 Aug · H v Jong AZ 3–1

FC OSSWLLWL

  • Fri 18 Sep · H v Dordrecht 3–0
  • Fri 11 Sep · A v VVV Venlo 1–3
  • Fri 4 Sep · A v Vitesse 1–2
  • Fri 28 Aug · H v Jong Utrecht 2–1
  • Mon 24 Aug · A v Jong PSV U21 0–1

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Emmen
  • Emmen have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Emmen have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 5 of Emmen's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Emmen's last 5.
  • Emmen kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
FC OSS
  • FC OSS have won 2 of their last 5.
  • FC OSS have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of FC OSS's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of FC OSS's last 5.
  • FC OSS kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Emmen

Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d

FC OSS

Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d

De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Emmen vs FC OSS?
Emmen line up in a 4-2-3-1, FC OSS in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.