Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

FC VolendamvVVV Venlo

·

3 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives FC Volendam a 51% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

FC VolendamModel pendingMarket 51%
FC Volendam:, no forecast published, market 51%

2Market

Open: 55% home · 21% draw · 24% away

Now: 51% home · 22% draw · 27% away

Moved −4pp — the market moved away from FC Volendam

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 8 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs51%
Draw—vs22%
Away—vs27%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs72%
Under 2.5—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs89%
Under 1.5—vs11%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs51%
Under 3.5—vs49%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs71%
No—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

FC Volendam

Confirmed · 4-3-3

No reported absences.

VVV Venlo

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

FC VolendamLWLWL

  • Fri 18 Sep · A v Jong AZ 1–4
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Den Bosch 2–0
  • Fri 4 Sep · A v Emmen 3–5
  • Fri 28 Aug · H v Dordrecht 6–1
  • Fri 21 Aug · A v MVV 0–1

VVV VenloWWLWW

  • Fri 18 Sep · A v Jong Utrecht 3–1
  • Fri 11 Sep · H v FC OSS 3–1
  • Fri 4 Sep · A v Helmond Sport 2–4
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v Emmen 4–0
  • Sun 23 Aug · H v De Graafschap 2–1

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

FC Volendam
  • FC Volendam have won 2 of their last 5.
  • FC Volendam have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of FC Volendam's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of FC Volendam's last 5.
  • FC Volendam kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
VVV Venlo
  • VVV Venlo have won 4 of their last 5.
  • VVV Venlo have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 5 of VVV Venlo's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of VVV Venlo's last 5.
  • VVV Venlo kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

FC Volendam

Rest: 8 days · 2 matches in 14d

VVV Venlo

Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d

Kras Stadion, Volendam

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
FC Volendam line up in a 4-3-3, VVV Venlo in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.