Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8
MVVvHelmond Sport
MVV
Helmond Sport·
2 – 0 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives MVV a 44% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 49% home · 25% draw · 26% away
Now: 44% home · 26% draw · 30% away
Moved −5pp — the market moved away from MVV
Solid: the market over 9 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
MVV
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
No reported absences.
Helmond Sport
Confirmed · 4-4-2
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
MVVLLDWW
- Fri 18 Sep · A v Waalwijk 1–6
- Fri 11 Sep · H v Almere City FC 0–4
- Sun 6 Sep · H v Roda 1–1(xG 1.4–0.8)
- Fri 28 Aug · A v Jong AZ 2–1
- Fri 21 Aug · H v FC Volendam 1–0
Helmond SportLWWLD
- Fri 18 Sep · A v Den Bosch 1–2
- Fri 11 Sep · H v Jong PSV U21 3–1
- Fri 4 Sep · H v VVV Venlo 4–2
- Fri 28 Aug · A v Jong Ajax 2–3
- Fri 21 Aug · H v Waalwijk 1–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- MVV have won 2 of their last 5.
- MVV have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of MVV's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of MVV's last 5.
- MVV kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Helmond Sport have won 2 of their last 5.
- Helmond Sport have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Helmond Sport's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Helmond Sport's last 5.
- Helmond Sport kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
MVV
Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d
Helmond Sport
Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d
De Geusselt, Maastricht
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What are the confirmed lineups for MVV vs Helmond Sport?
- MVV line up in a 4-2-3-1, Helmond Sport in a 4-4-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.