Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10

Wieczysta KrakówvWisla Plock

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1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Wieczysta Kraków a 44% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Wieczysta KrakówModel pendingMarket 44%
Wieczysta Kraków:, no forecast published, market 44%

2Market

Open: 44% home · 26% draw · 30% away

Now: 44% home · 26% draw · 31% away

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs44%
Draw—vs26%
Away—vs31%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs57%
Under 2.5—vs43%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs80%
Under 1.5—vs20%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs34%
Under 3.5—vs66%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs61%
No—vs39%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Wieczysta Kraków

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Wisla Plock

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Wieczysta KrakówDLDLL

  • Fri 18 Sep · A v Widzew Łódź 2–2
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Pogon Szczecin 0–2
  • Mon 7 Sep · H v Zaglebie Lubin 1–1
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Wisla Krakow 0–2
  • Fri 21 Aug · A v Cracovia Krakow 2–3

Wisla PlockWWDLL

  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Zaglebie Lubin 2–0
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Cracovia Krakow 3–1
  • Mon 7 Sep · A v Pogon Szczecin 1–1
  • Fri 28 Aug · H v Korona Kielce 0–2
  • Sun 23 Aug · A v GKS Katowice 0–5

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Wieczysta Kraków
  • Wieczysta Kraków have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Wieczysta Kraków have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Wieczysta Kraków's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Wieczysta Kraków's last 5.
  • Wieczysta Kraków kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Wisla Plock
  • Wisla Plock have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Wisla Plock have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Wisla Plock's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Wisla Plock's last 5.
  • Wisla Plock kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Wieczysta Kraków

Rest: 21 days · 0 matches in 14d

Wisla Plock

Rest: 19 days · 0 matches in 14d

Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana

8Red flags