Pro League · Regular Season - 9

Al-Ahli JeddahvAl-Nassr

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1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Al-Nassr a 45% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Al-NassrModel pendingMarket 45%
Al-Nassr:, no forecast published, market 45%

2Market

Open: 30% home · 25% draw · 45% away

Now: 30% home · 25% draw · 45% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs30%
Draw—vs25%
Away—vs45%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs60%
Under 2.5—vs40%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs82%
Under 1.5—vs18%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs38%
Under 3.5—vs62%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs63%
No—vs37%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Al-Ahli Jeddah

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Al-Nassr

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Al-Ahli JeddahWLWLL

  • Fri 11 Sep · H v Al-Hazm 3–1
  • Tue 8 Sep · A v Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–3(xG 1.3–2.5)
  • Fri 4 Sep · H v Al Riyadh 5–0
  • Tue 1 Sep · A v Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0–3
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Al Kholood 1–3

Al-NassrDWLWW

  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Al Khaleej Saihat 1–1
  • Wed 9 Sep · H v Abha 2–1(xG 1.3–0.3)
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Al-Ittihad FC 1–2
  • Fri 28 Aug · H v Al Taawon 2–1
  • Tue 25 Aug · A v Al-Ettifaq 3–2

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Al-Ahli Jeddah
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 5 of Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 5.
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Al-Nassr
  • Al-Nassr have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Al-Nassr have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Al-Nassr's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Al-Nassr's last 5.
  • Al-Nassr kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Al-Ahli Jeddah

Rest: 34 days · 0 matches in 14d

Al-Nassr

Rest: 33 days · 0 matches in 14d

King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah

8Red flags