Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Al-FatehvAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Fateh
Al-Ahli Jeddah·
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Al-Ahli Jeddah a 68% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 15% home · 17% draw · 68% away
Now: 14% home · 18% draw · 68% away
Moved +1pp — the market moved towards the draw
Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Al-Fateh
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Al-FatehLLDDD
- Sun 13 Sep · A v NEOM 2–4
- Wed 9 Sep · H v Al Diriyah 1–2
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Al Taawon 0–0
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Al-Ittihad FC 0–0
- Wed 26 Aug · A v Al-Faisaly FC 1–1
Al-Ahli JeddahWLWLL
- Fri 11 Sep · H v Al-Hazm 3–1
- Tue 8 Sep · A v Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–3(xG 1.3–2.5)
- Fri 4 Sep · H v Al Riyadh 5–0
- Tue 1 Sep · A v Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0–3
- Sat 29 Aug · A v Al Kholood 1–3
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Al-Fateh have won 0 of their last 5.
- Al-Fateh have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of Al-Fateh's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Al-Fateh's last 5.
- Al-Fateh kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
- Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 2 of their last 5.
- Al-Ahli Jeddah have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 5 of Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 5.
- Al-Ahli Jeddah kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Al-Fateh
Rest: 26 days · 0 matches in 14d
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Rest: 28 days · 0 matches in 14d
Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.