Pro League · Regular Season - 11

Al-Qadisiyah FCvAl-Hilal Saudi FC

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2 – 3 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 48% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Al-Hilal Saudi FCModel pendingMarket 48%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC:, no forecast published, market 48%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 29% home · 23% draw · 48% away

Now: 29% home · 23% draw · 48% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs29%
Draw—vs23%
Away—vs48%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs66%
Under 2.5—vs34%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs87%
Under 1.5—vs13%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs44%
Under 3.5—vs56%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs67%
No—vs33%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Al-Qadisiyah FCWWWDW

  • Tue 20 Oct · A v Al Taawon 1–0
  • Fri 16 Oct · H v Abha 2–1
  • Fri 9 Oct · A v Al Kholood 5–0
  • Fri 11 Sep · H v Al-Ettifaq 3–3
  • Tue 8 Sep · H v Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–2(xG 2.5–1.3)

Al-Hilal Saudi FCWWWLW

  • Mon 19 Oct · H v Al-Hazm 1–0
  • Sat 10 Oct · H v Al-Ittihad FC 3–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Al Taawon 6–0
  • Mon 7 Sep · H v NEOM 0–2(xG 1.8–1.4)
  • Fri 4 Sep · A v Al Shabab 2–0

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Al-Qadisiyah FC
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 4 of their last 5.
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Al-Qadisiyah FC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Al-Qadisiyah FC's last 5.
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
  • Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 4 of their last 5.
  • Al-Hilal Saudi FC have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Al-Hilal Saudi FC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of Al-Hilal Saudi FC's last 5.
  • Al-Hilal Saudi FC kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam · Referee: Donatas Rumsas, Lithuania

8Red flags