Pro League · Regular Season - 7
NEOMvAl-Fateh
NEOM
Al-Fateh·
4 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives NEOM a 58% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 58% home · 23% draw · 19% away
Now: 58% home · 23% draw · 19% away
Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
NEOM
Confirmed · 4-4-2
No reported absences.
Al-Fateh
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
NEOMWWLLW
- Mon 7 Sep · A v Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–0(xG 1.4–1.8)
- Thu 3 Sep · H v Al Khaleej Saihat 3–0
- Fri 28 Aug · A v Al Riyadh 0–1
- Mon 24 Aug · H v Al-Qadisiyah FC 0–2
- Fri 21 Aug · A v Al-Faisaly FC 2–0
Al-FatehLDDDL
- Wed 9 Sep · H v Al Diriyah 1–2
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Al Taawon 0–0
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Al-Ittihad FC 0–0
- Wed 26 Aug · A v Al-Faisaly FC 1–1
- Sat 22 Aug · H v Al-Ettifaq 0–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- NEOM have won 3 of their last 5.
- NEOM have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 1 of NEOM's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 0 of NEOM's last 5.
- NEOM kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
- Al-Fateh have won 0 of their last 5.
- Al-Fateh have scored in 2 of their last 5.
- 1 of Al-Fateh's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Al-Fateh's last 5.
- Al-Fateh kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
NEOM
Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d
Al-Fateh
Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d
King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabuk · Referee: Ibrahim Ahmed Al-Jurays, Saudi Arabia
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What are the confirmed lineups for NEOM vs Al-Fateh?
- NEOM line up in a 4-4-2, Al-Fateh in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.