Championship · Regular Season - 8

Inverness CTvMorton

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2 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Inverness CT a 73% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Inverness CTModel pendingMarket 73%
Inverness CT:, no forecast published, market 73%

2Market

Open: 71% home · 20% draw · 10% away

Now: 73% home · 19% draw · 9% away

Moved +2pp — the market moved towards Inverness CT

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 11 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs73%
Draw—vs19%
Away—vs9%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs54%
Under 2.5—vs46%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs79%
Under 1.5—vs21%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs31%
Under 3.5—vs69%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs44%
No—vs56%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Inverness CT

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Morton

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Inverness CTDWLLD

  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Livingston 2–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Ayr Utd 3–1
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Raith Rovers 0–2
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Stenhousemuir 1–3
  • Fri 21 Aug · H v Partick 1–1

MortonLLLDL

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Dunfermline 0–1
  • Fri 11 Sep · H v Livingston 1–4
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Queen's Park 1–2
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Ayr Utd 1–1
  • Sat 22 Aug · H v Arbroath 1–2

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Inverness CT
  • Inverness CT have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Inverness CT have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Inverness CT's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Inverness CT's last 5.
  • Inverness CT kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Morton
  • Morton have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Morton have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Morton's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Morton's last 5.
  • Morton kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Inverness CT

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Morton

Rest: 6 days · 1 match in 14d

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness · Referee: P. Stuart

8Red flags