Premiership · Regular Season - 12

FalkirkvCeltic

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1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Celtic a 67% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

CelticModel pendingMarket 67%
Celtic:, no forecast published, market 67%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 15% home · 19% draw · 67% away

Now: 15% home · 19% draw · 67% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs15%
Draw—vs19%
Away—vs67%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs66%
Under 2.5—vs34%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs85%
Under 1.5—vs15%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs43%
Under 3.5—vs57%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs59%
No—vs41%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Falkirk

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Celtic

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

FalkirkWWWLD

  • Wed 28 Oct · A v Aberdeen 1–0
  • Sat 24 Oct · H v Kilmarnock 3–0
  • Sat 17 Oct · A v Hibernian 2–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · H v Dundee 1–2
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v ST Johnstone 1–1

CelticDWWWL

  • Wed 28 Oct · H v Dundee Utd 2–2
  • Sun 25 Oct · A v Hibernian 2–1(xG 1.1–1.2)
  • Sun 18 Oct · H v Heart Of Midlothian 7–1
  • Sun 11 Oct · A v Motherwell 2–0
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Rangers 0–1

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Falkirk
  • Falkirk have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Falkirk have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Falkirk's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Falkirk's last 5.
  • Falkirk kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Celtic
  • Celtic have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Celtic have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Celtic's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Celtic's last 5.
  • Celtic kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Falkirk W–D–L
0–0–1
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Celtic 2–1 Falkirk

7Context

Falkirk

Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d

Celtic

Rest: 4 days · 3 matches in 14d

Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk

8Red flags