La Liga · Regular Season - 29
Real MadridvAtletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid·
3 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 2.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 1.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 3.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Both teams to score
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Real Madrid
Lineup not yet confirmed
- A. Tchouameni — out (Muscle Injury)
- Endrick — out (Muscle Injury)
- Rodrygo — out (Knee Injury)
- T. Pitarch — out (Knee Injury)
- F. Mendy — out (Hip Injury)
- Eder Militao — out (Hamstring Injury)
- R. Asencio — out (Muscle Injury)
Atletico Madrid
Lineup not yet confirmed
- J. Alvarez — out (Personal Reasons)
- C. Romero — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
- T. Lemar — out (Coach's decision)
- A. Sorloth — out (Muscle Injury)
- R. Le Normand — out (Red Card)
- O. Vargas — out (Coach's decision)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Real MadridWWLLW
- Sat 14 Mar · H v Elche 4–1
- Fri 6 Mar · A v Celta Vigo 2–1
- Mon 2 Mar · H v Getafe 0–1
- Sat 21 Feb · A v Osasuna 1–2
- Sat 14 Feb · H v Real Sociedad 4–1
Atletico MadridWWWWL
- Sat 14 Mar · H v Getafe 1–0
- Sat 7 Mar · H v Real Sociedad 3–2
- Sat 28 Feb · A v Oviedo 1–0
- Sat 21 Feb · H v Espanyol 4–2
- Sun 15 Feb · A v Rayo Vallecano 0–3
5Trends
How each side has been going, and how these two have met — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter.
- Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5.
- Real Madrid have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 4 of Real Madrid's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Real Madrid's last 5.
- Real Madrid kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
- Atletico Madrid have won 4 of their last 5.
- Atletico Madrid have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Atletico Madrid's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Atletico Madrid's last 5.
- Atletico Madrid kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Head to head
- Over 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 6 meetings.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 6 meetings.
- Real Madrid have won 0, Atletico Madrid 2, with 4 drawn, in the last 6 meetings.
6Head-to-head
7Context
Real Madrid
Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d
Atletico Madrid
Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid · Referee: J. Munuera
8Red flags
No flags raised for this fixture right now.