Segunda División · Regular Season - 7
AD Ceuta FCvReal Sociedad II
AD Ceuta FC
Real Sociedad II·
3 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Real Sociedad II a 39% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 43% home · 26% draw · 31% away
Now: 33% home · 28% draw · 39% away
Moved −10pp — the market moved away from AD Ceuta FC
Solid: the market over 13 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
AD Ceuta FC
Confirmed · 4-3-3
No reported absences.
Real Sociedad II
Confirmed · 4-4-2
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
AD Ceuta FCDLLLL
- Sun 20 Sep · H v Valladolid 1–1
- Fri 11 Sep · A v Burgos 1–3
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Celta de Vigo II 0–2
- Sun 30 Aug · A v Mallorca 0–3
- Sat 22 Aug · H v Las Palmas 0–2
Real Sociedad IILWDDW
- Sat 19 Sep · H v Mallorca 0–1
- Sat 12 Sep · A v FC Andorra 3–1
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Tenerife 1–1
- Mon 31 Aug · A v Burgos 2–2
- Sat 22 Aug · A v Albacete 2–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- AD Ceuta FC have won 0 of their last 5.
- AD Ceuta FC have scored in 2 of their last 5.
- 2 of AD Ceuta FC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of AD Ceuta FC's last 5.
- AD Ceuta FC kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
- Real Sociedad II have won 2 of their last 5.
- Real Sociedad II have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Real Sociedad II's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Real Sociedad II's last 5.
- Real Sociedad II kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
AD Ceuta FC
Rest: 6 days · 1 match in 14d
Real Sociedad II
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta · Referee: Miranda Bolano, Daniel
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What are the confirmed lineups for AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
- AD Ceuta FC line up in a 4-3-3, Real Sociedad II in a 4-4-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.