Segunda División · Regular Season - 9

BurgosvGranada CF

·

0 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Burgos a 40% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

BurgosModel pendingMarket 40%
Burgos:, no forecast published, market 40%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 40% home · 29% draw · 31% away

Now: 40% home · 29% draw · 31% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs40%
Draw—vs29%
Away—vs31%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs44%
Under 2.5—vs56%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs70%
Under 1.5—vs30%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs22%
Under 3.5—vs78%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs51%
No—vs49%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Burgos

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Granada CF

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

BurgosLWWWD

  • Sat 3 Oct · A v Almeria 1–2
  • Sun 27 Sep · H v Eldense 1–0
  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Las Palmas 2–1
  • Fri 11 Sep · H v AD Ceuta FC 3–1
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Oviedo 0–0

Granada CFWLLDL

  • Sun 4 Oct · A v Real Sociedad II 3–2
  • Sat 26 Sep · H v FC Andorra 2–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Leganes 2–3
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Albacete 1–1
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Eibar 0–3

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Burgos
  • Burgos have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Burgos have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Burgos's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Burgos's last 5.
  • Burgos kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Granada CF
  • Granada CF have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Granada CF have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Granada CF's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Granada CF's last 5.
  • Granada CF kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Burgos

Rest: 9 days · 1 match in 14d

Granada CF

Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d

Municipal El Plantio, Burgos · Referee: S. Lax

8Red flags