Segunda División · Regular Season - 7

EibarvLas Palmas

·

3 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Eibar a 54% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

EibarModel pendingMarket 54%
Eibar:, no forecast published, market 54%

2Market

Open: 49% home · 28% draw · 23% away

Now: 54% home · 26% draw · 20% away

Moved +5pp — the market moved towards Eibar

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 9 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs54%
Draw—vs26%
Away—vs20%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs52%
Under 2.5—vs48%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs77%
Under 1.5—vs23%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs29%
Under 3.5—vs71%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs55%
No—vs45%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Eibar

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

Las Palmas

Confirmed · 4-4-2

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

EibarWWWWW

  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Eldense 2–1
  • Mon 14 Sep · A v Celta de Vigo II 4–0
  • Sun 6 Sep · H v Granada CF 3–0
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v FC Andorra 1–0
  • Sun 23 Aug · H v Valladolid 1–0

Las PalmasLWDLW

  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Burgos 1–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Cadiz 1–0
  • Fri 4 Sep · H v Leganes 0–0
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Girona 2–5
  • Sat 22 Aug · A v AD Ceuta FC 2–0

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Eibar
  • Eibar have won 5 of their last 5.
  • Eibar have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Eibar's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of Eibar's last 5.
  • Eibar kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5.
Las Palmas
  • Las Palmas have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Las Palmas have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Las Palmas's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Las Palmas's last 5.
  • Las Palmas kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Eibar

Rest: 8 days · 2 matches in 14d

Las Palmas

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar · Referee: Salvador Lax

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Eibar vs Las Palmas?
Eibar line up in a 4-2-3-1, Las Palmas in a 4-4-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.